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ESPN: Sam Bradford best in NFC West for 3rd down passing, Alex Smith worst

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Originally posted by Shaj:
Sam Bradford - 101.2 passer rating on third downs
Matt Hasselbeck - 76.5
Derek Anderson - 63.6
Max Hall - 55.1
Alex Smith - 54.8

Troy Smith is not ranked because he does not have enough stats to be meaningful.

Oh, and Shaun Hill is 88.7 in third down passer rating with the Lions this year.

link to ESPN analysis

Not to get in the way of a good story, I wonder what those #'s look like after Mike Johnson took over as the OC. I'll bet its a BIG difference.
Originally posted by 76Razor:
Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by 76Razor:
Originally posted by Shaj:
Sam Bradford - 101.2 passer rating on third downs
Matt Hasselbeck - 76.5
Derek Anderson - 63.6
Max Hall - 55.1
Alex Smith - 54.8

Troy Smith is not ranked because he does not have enough stats to be meaningful.

Oh, and Shaun Hill is 88.7 in third down passer rating with the Lions this year.

link to ESPN analysis

this is a great stat to stare at and realize that we have issues, thanks. but what sucks is your planted smiley face. see, this is the kinda gloating that sucks. BTW i am not an alex fan or hater.
Biggest difference is that though the Rams have Steven Jackson, though don't always run him up the gut on first and second downs and then expect the QB to bail them out on 3rd down. The play calling itself has been the biggest problem on 3rd down, not the QB.

The Rams are a MUCH better team than most Niner fans here realize. I fear the next game against them may not go well. Their defense is VERY good - designed by one of the best defensive minds in the game. Spag is also bright enough to turn the offense over to Andy Reid disciple Pat Shurmur. They are playing very well and should not be taken lightly. It will be a BIG win if the 49ers beat them.

No, we are bad because we don't have a QB who can help the offense like Bradford does.

As to the bold:
Steven Jackson: 3.9 per carry for 2 TDs, 17 catches, 169 yds at 9.9 per, 0 receiving TDs.

Frank Gore: 4.2 per carry for 2 TDS, 38 catches, 348 yds at 9.2 per, 2 receiving TDs.


So, by these stats, it appears that Bradford is probably in worse 3rd down situations.

If you want to point to your other usual reason which is WRs:
Rams:
Best receiver: 2nd year 6 foot 210 pounder who has only 228 yards
#2: 4 year 6'2" 197 with 75 yards
#3: rookie 6'5" 215 with 78 yards

Guess who their starting TE is: Billy Bajema (need I say more)

Bradford has been sacked 17 times.

all very telling signs. stats (in this case) tell the awful truth. however, can we say that coaching/play calling is a factor? predictability? let's see where stats are at with t smith, when available-if available.

Yes but this is saying that they have better coaching and are still not getting better production out of their running game or WR's. We are way more predictable and still getting better production.

This leads to some assumptions:

1. We have better talent that is compensating for our crap coaching: not true to folks who are excusing Smith's mediocre play.

2. We have better coaching: if you believe this, then I don't know what to say.

So, which is it? Me thinks we just have a better RB, better run-blocking OL and that they are getting better play in terms of TD's and mistakes from their QB.


But do you know the biggest difference in us and the Rams is: Offensive Turnovers.

They don't have better talent, they just aren't turning the damn ball over. We are 2-0 in games where we don't have critical turnovers.
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Originally posted by oldman9er:
I'd be more interested in seeing the % of these 3rd downs in relation to yards to go conversion. Sure seems like Alex was in an awful lot of 3rd and longs... which we all know are far more difficult to convert when in conjunction to a poor pass blocking OL and very average receivers.

here we go with the alexcuses.
Originally posted by Marvin49:
Originally posted by Shaj:
Sam Bradford - 101.2 passer rating on third downs
Matt Hasselbeck - 76.5
Derek Anderson - 63.6
Max Hall - 55.1
Alex Smith - 54.8

Troy Smith is not ranked because he does not have enough stats to be meaningful.

Oh, and Shaun Hill is 88.7 in third down passer rating with the Lions this year.

link to ESPN analysis

Not to get in the way of a good story, I wonder what those #'s look like after Mike Johnson took over as the OC. I'll bet its a BIG difference.

Yes, yes, it actually is. I read a Maiocco article... no, maybe Eric Branch, I think... that showed dramatic improvement in our 3rd down conversions (and Alex's overall stats).

Gonna go find it, or try to...
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Originally posted by HessianDud:
Originally posted by Shaj:
Originally posted by HessianDud:
this should go in NFL talk or the Alex Smith thread.

I have an idea, let's just have one monolithic thread called "Official: 49ers thread" and we post everything in there.

Me thinks you want to sweep dirt under a carpet someplace.



seriously, this is kind of pathological with you. Focus on something else on the team for awhile. Alex is standing on the sideline with his arm in a sling, so who cares what his 3rd down passing stats are?

And, not to be all forum police on you, but this really could go in a number of other threads, or in NFL talk. It adds nothing new to the discussion of the 49ers and only clutters up the boards with more unnecessary arguments about a QB who isn't even playing right now, when there are a lot of other problems/issues with the team that could be talked about. But some people only want to talk about the QB, or that is all they are able to talk about. One QB. On a team with 53 players.

It is pathological with me, I agree. I'm pissed that all but about 3 zoners ignored the blatant warning signs for 5 years. You guys are frustrated with this clown's play for 2 months. There's no comparison.

But this is new info, so that's why it's not trolling. If it's new enough for ESPN to write about it, it's new enough for us to talk about.
Originally posted by Kolohe:
Originally posted by fanmusclecars:
Give Sam Bradford some weapons Rams would dominate the NFC West for the next decade. Scouts were right comparing him to Peyton Manning.

Even the Rams D has showed up this season.

It's crucial we "hit it out of the ball park" come April.

No no no don't give that kid any more weapons!!!!

They will probably have a WR like Julio Jones or RB like Mark Ingram available when they pick.
Yes, here it is... now what, haters?

http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2010/10/move-the-chains-niners-converting-under-new-oc.html

Quote:
Raye was the OC during this season's first three games. The Niners converted 10 of 41 third downs under Raye. That is 24 percent. Not too good. Mike Johnson has been the IC the past three games. The Niners have converted 21 of 42 first downs under Johnson. That is 50 percent. Very good.

With Raye, Smith had an overall QB rating of 66.2. His rating on third down was 31.6 (15 of 33, 154 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT). With Johnson, Smith has an overall rating of 82.7. His rating on third down is 72.7 (18 of 32, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). With Raye, nine of Smith's 15 third-down completions (60%) did not result in a first down. With Johnson, four of Smith's 18 third-down completions (22%) haven't resulted in a first down. It's very annoying when QBs complete third-down passes short of a first down. Don't you think? It's been said that the Niners have done a better job of putting themselves in "more manageable" third-down situations under Johnson. Kind of. Under Johnson, 17 of their 42 third downs (40%) have been in third-and-short (less than five yards). Under Raye, 14 of their 41 third downs (34%) were in third-and-short.
Originally posted by Shaj:
Originally posted by HessianDud:
Originally posted by Shaj:
Originally posted by HessianDud:
this should go in NFL talk or the Alex Smith thread.

I have an idea, let's just have one monolithic thread called "Official: 49ers thread" and we post everything in there.

Me thinks you want to sweep dirt under a carpet someplace.



seriously, this is kind of pathological with you. Focus on something else on the team for awhile. Alex is standing on the sideline with his arm in a sling, so who cares what his 3rd down passing stats are?

And, not to be all forum police on you, but this really could go in a number of other threads, or in NFL talk. It adds nothing new to the discussion of the 49ers and only clutters up the boards with more unnecessary arguments about a QB who isn't even playing right now, when there are a lot of other problems/issues with the team that could be talked about. But some people only want to talk about the QB, or that is all they are able to talk about. One QB. On a team with 53 players.

It is pathological with me, I agree. I'm pissed that all but about 3 zoners ignored the blatant warning signs for 5 years. You guys are frustrated with this clown's play for 2 months. There's no comparison.

But this is new info, so that's why it's not trolling. If it's new enough for ESPN to write about it, it's new enough for us to talk about.

I'm not frustrated at all. Smith finally had a decent opportunity and it didn't work out. He's the least of our problems, if you pay attention to the team at all.

This is not very interesting information. It should be in the Alex Smith thread or in Niner Talk. It is not salient information and no new conversation can come from this "information" and THAT is why its trolling.
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Originally posted by BirdmanJr:
Bradford is going to own us for years to come if we don't get our s**t together

I agree Bradford appears to have a good future, especially considering the fact the best receiver on the team is Danny Amendola, a TE, but one who is very good at hot reads and adjustments. He is averaging only 8.4 yards per catch but is very reliable with 45 catches.

Again, Bradford has a very good OC who runs a nice variation of the WCO and a HC who is smart enough to stay out of the way and let Shurmur run the offense.
Originally posted by oldman9er:
Yes, here it is... now what, haters?

http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2010/10/move-the-chains-niners-converting-under-new-oc.html

Quote:
Raye was the OC during this season's first three games. The Niners converted 10 of 41 third downs under Raye. That is 24 percent. Not too good. Mike Johnson has been the IC the past three games. The Niners have converted 21 of 42 first downs under Johnson. That is 50 percent. Very good.

With Raye, Smith had an overall QB rating of 66.2. His rating on third down was 31.6 (15 of 33, 154 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT). With Johnson, Smith has an overall rating of 82.7. His rating on third down is 72.7 (18 of 32, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). With Raye, nine of Smith's 15 third-down completions (60%) did not result in a first down. With Johnson, four of Smith's 18 third-down completions (22%) haven't resulted in a first down. It's very annoying when QBs complete third-down passes short of a first down. Don't you think? It's been said that the Niners have done a better job of putting themselves in "more manageable" third-down situations under Johnson. Kind of. Under Johnson, 17 of their 42 third downs (40%) have been in third-and-short (less than five yards). Under Raye, 14 of their 41 third downs (34%) were in third-and-short.

Well we all know Johnson is a better OC.

Now think how much better he will look with Troy Smith than Alex Smith.

Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by oldman9er:
Yes, here it is... now what, haters?

http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2010/10/move-the-chains-niners-converting-under-new-oc.html

Quote:
Raye was the OC during this season's first three games. The Niners converted 10 of 41 third downs under Raye. That is 24 percent. Not too good. Mike Johnson has been the IC the past three games. The Niners have converted 21 of 42 first downs under Johnson. That is 50 percent. Very good.

With Raye, Smith had an overall QB rating of 66.2. His rating on third down was 31.6 (15 of 33, 154 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT). With Johnson, Smith has an overall rating of 82.7. His rating on third down is 72.7 (18 of 32, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). With Raye, nine of Smith's 15 third-down completions (60%) did not result in a first down. With Johnson, four of Smith's 18 third-down completions (22%) haven't resulted in a first down. It's very annoying when QBs complete third-down passes short of a first down. Don't you think? It's been said that the Niners have done a better job of putting themselves in "more manageable" third-down situations under Johnson. Kind of. Under Johnson, 17 of their 42 third downs (40%) have been in third-and-short (less than five yards). Under Raye, 14 of their 41 third downs (34%) were in third-and-short.

Well we all know Johnson is a better OC.

Now think how much better he will look with Troy Smith than Alex Smith.

deflection from failed theory... how very cute
Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by oldman9er:
Yes, here it is... now what, haters?

http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2010/10/move-the-chains-niners-converting-under-new-oc.html

Quote:
Raye was the OC during this season's first three games. The Niners converted 10 of 41 third downs under Raye. That is 24 percent. Not too good. Mike Johnson has been the IC the past three games. The Niners have converted 21 of 42 first downs under Johnson. That is 50 percent. Very good.

With Raye, Smith had an overall QB rating of 66.2. His rating on third down was 31.6 (15 of 33, 154 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT). With Johnson, Smith has an overall rating of 82.7. His rating on third down is 72.7 (18 of 32, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). With Raye, nine of Smith's 15 third-down completions (60%) did not result in a first down. With Johnson, four of Smith's 18 third-down completions (22%) haven't resulted in a first down. It's very annoying when QBs complete third-down passes short of a first down. Don't you think? It's been said that the Niners have done a better job of putting themselves in "more manageable" third-down situations under Johnson. Kind of. Under Johnson, 17 of their 42 third downs (40%) have been in third-and-short (less than five yards). Under Raye, 14 of their 41 third downs (34%) were in third-and-short.

Well we all know Johnson is a better OC.

Now think how much better he will look with Troy Smith than Alex Smith.

I'd love it if Troy was much better, but lets not make the assumption he's better. ONE game is a very small sample size and Troys stats look alot different if Walker doesn't catch that prayer throw at the one.

Don't get me wrong...I'd LOVE it if Troy because the next great QB for the Niners, but saying he's better than Smith right now is kinda ludicrous. Its ONE game.
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i wonder what the avg. yards to gain first down on third down is per player? i bet Alex's is the longest.
[ Edited by boast on Nov 2, 2010 at 12:32 PM ]
Thats horrible.



Once the Rams get a stud WR prolly this draft they will be the team for the next decade in the NFC WEST they are a good team and very very disciplined
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Originally posted by Marvin49:
Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by oldman9er:
Yes, here it is... now what, haters?

http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2010/10/move-the-chains-niners-converting-under-new-oc.html

Quote:
Raye was the OC during this season's first three games. The Niners converted 10 of 41 third downs under Raye. That is 24 percent. Not too good. Mike Johnson has been the IC the past three games. The Niners have converted 21 of 42 first downs under Johnson. That is 50 percent. Very good.

With Raye, Smith had an overall QB rating of 66.2. His rating on third down was 31.6 (15 of 33, 154 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT). With Johnson, Smith has an overall rating of 82.7. His rating on third down is 72.7 (18 of 32, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). With Raye, nine of Smith's 15 third-down completions (60%) did not result in a first down. With Johnson, four of Smith's 18 third-down completions (22%) haven't resulted in a first down. It's very annoying when QBs complete third-down passes short of a first down. Don't you think? It's been said that the Niners have done a better job of putting themselves in "more manageable" third-down situations under Johnson. Kind of. Under Johnson, 17 of their 42 third downs (40%) have been in third-and-short (less than five yards). Under Raye, 14 of their 41 third downs (34%) were in third-and-short.

Well we all know Johnson is a better OC.

Now think how much better he will look with Troy Smith than Alex Smith.

I'd love it if Troy was much better, but lets not make the assumption he's better. ONE game is a very small sample size and Troys stats look alot different if Walker doesn't catch that prayer throw at the one.

Don't get me wrong...I'd LOVE it if Troy because the next great QB for the Niners, but saying he's better than Smith right now is kinda ludicrous. Its ONE game.

believe it or not, I agree. It is just one game. Rattay looked good in one game, and so did JT O'Sullivan. However, the intangibles I saw from Troy were fairly promising. It was one game, but he also had no time to prepare, had little to no practice with the starters before 2 weeks ago, was on the road in another country,and has had little game-time experience in his career. All those things lend me some hope, but I do think it is too soon to make assessments. We'll know more after a few more games, assuming Alex stays on the bench.
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