Originally posted by TowelBoy:
they are letting Hill keep his job longer than he merits. He has absolutely horrendous pocket awareness; sometimes he literally sacks himself by running into people, and he flashes the football right at the pass rushers he doesn't know are there. His accuracy is very hit or miss, usually miss. What limited production he does muster comes mostly from screens to Gore and Davis.
He's had one or two throws a game so far that have made me raise an eyebrow (impressed), but they can't overshadow the fact that he's a well below average NFL quarterback. I'm pretty torn about this season now. I'd be so thrilled for us to finally win another division title, but I don't think we'd have any shot whatsoever in the playoffs.
I'm no football expert, but I find it hard to believe that Alex Smith is actually worse than Hill. Supposedly, what Hill has going for him is that he's a "gamer" and he "manages the game" and he has an impressive record in a limited sample. Well, Smith has had his moments too. He had a "gamer" comeback against the Cardinals a couple years ago that had everyone buzzing about the second coming.
But I digress. If Smith is really and truly a bust, we need to get serious about 2009 success and trade for a quarterback.
Hill definitely has his limitations and his W-L record notwithstanding, he probably will not be the 49ers QB if/when they win their next SB. But, at this point, he is the 49ers best option. Smith may eventually get a chance to play this season (or next) but he also has not played and been healthy for a meaningful game in almost 2 years.
You aren't really being fair to Hill either. Yes, at times its ugly and there are definitely some throws he cannot make but he has risen to the occasion when needed (e.g. the winning drive against Arizona in game 1 of this year, the Ram game last year) and generally he does not make the big mistake. He does tend to hold the ball too long and get lost in the pocket when the initial read isn't there but as long as he keeps winning, he's going to be the QB until there is a clear better alternative.
Trading for a QB isn't an option. First, there aren't any top QBs available. Second, even if they did bring in another QB, he would be looking at learning a new system, learning new receivers, etc. The NFL is too complicated at the QB position to try to plug someone in on the fly during the season, which is why the 49ers talked to Warner and considered Cutler in the off-season and perhaps Sanchez in the draft. If they were going to bring in a new QB, the time to do it was at least before training camp. They ultimately settled on the QB competition between Hill and Smith and Hill won. For better or worse, he's your 49er QB for 2009 until proven otherwise or he gets hurt.
If they go 10-6 and Hill is the starter for the remainder of the season, he would then be approximately 17-9 as a starter (he's 9-3 currently). The real question is...if Hill plays like he has the first 2 weeks and the 49ers go to the playoffs at 9-7 or 10-6, what do they do in the off-season about the QB position.