Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by Joecool:
Originally posted by Mr.Mcgibblets:
Originally posted by Joecool:
Love how a team stat is correlated to one player but when you look into more detail, all he's doing is not turning it over. Other that, show me other things he is doing well when it comes to passing the ball.
We have been over this so much that all you need to do is read back the last dozen pages of this thread.
... and how about that Jets QB playing safe and not turning the ball over? What have you to say on that hilariously inaccurate statement of yours?
All I read in the last dozen pages is countless proof of how inept the KC passing offense is. Then there were comments sprinkled in about how good Alex is or the TOP is making the defense better with nothing to base it from.
As for the Jets QB, it just goes to show that a team that is committed to the run and has a strong defense can also have a winning team. Also, didn't Sanchez make it to the AFC Championship game twice? He's just a QB who knows how to win.
Get the theme? Winning is a TEAM game and if you take off the rose-colored glasses, you will realize that KC is winning due to their Defense that scores around 4 points per game and not their offense that only scores about 10 per game.
But that's okay. Alex is a top NFL QB because he wins...completely ignore the details.
This thread has always tended to be QB-centric, for obvious reasons, however in so far as it has now turned more the overall offense, it is clear the biggest issue that has held the offense back the past two weeks is the drops. No team can move the ball consistently with so many drops, and so many in key situations.
No QB, not Brady, not Rodgers, not Manning, is always going to put the ball in a perfect spot, and Smith has missed some that could have been better placed. So when he misses a couple, and then you add 3-5 drops/game, that offense will struggle. No way around it.
Further, with Knile Davis not turning out to be quite the power back they hoped for, yet, the offense has a lot of room to grow once he starts to run with authority.
I don't know, when so few attempts are made in the 10+ yard range, a drop or an over throw weigh in a lot. That's the other end of the play it safe spectrum. Yes, it keeps the scores close be it your team is dominating or not, but also keeps the opponent in the game where plays other teams can overcome appear vital in this type of offense.
The other unnoticable stat are NFL open deeper receivers that are not thrown to over a safer shorter more open route. This is the biggest difference in SF offense with Kap and the SF offense without Kap. With Kap, we maximize the potential of a play. Without him, we settle for higher percentage play or take the sack. With Kap, we have become one of the most efficient passing teams that can score in one play.
I don't have the time nor the inclination to go back a chart every pass, but from having watched every game, in recent games there are a lot of throws in the 10-15 yard range. In the last game, if McCluster catches that 30 yard throw he walks the rest of the way to the end zone. The throw could not have been better. Bowe dropped two balls at about the 12 yard mark. Your filter is on a little tight again.
No, the 49ers are not a team that can score on one passing play. That is the problem with the offense right now - they don't have a single reliable deep threat. That is why everyone is over the moon about Manningham and Crabtree coming back. Boldin is not a deep threat. Davis can be but is often held in to block. The result is the Kaep has often chose a shorter route because that is the route that has been called. The receivers that do run a bit deeper are usually there only to clear space for the shorter throw and to block after the catch.
The bold is where you are seeing what you want to see. Here's proof:
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/film-room/2013/film-room-limitations
The stats also show proof. There is 7 years of proof that show Alex just isn't a QB who will attempt even an average amount of deep balls. Also, like you said, the McCluster dropped ball was big. It was only big because of the lack of big plays attempted and short-yardage style Alex prefers. A deep completion or a dropped deep pass or a deep overthrow weighs heavy into the non-production or production for Alex Smith.
Bold italics: I'm not sure what you are seeing. Kap is ranked 11th in TD per completion. He is ranked 13th or so in TD per attempt. His yards per attempt, number of passes over 15 yards....everything points to big plays. In the least attempts in the league, SF has 2 targets on pace for 1000 yards. If that doesn't scream ability to make huge plays, I don't know what to tell you.
All of this evidence about Kap and you don't believe SF has made big plays but you believe a QB that averages only 6 yards per attempt with a very low TD/ATT ratio throws a lot of deep passes? Something is backward here or someone needs to take the glasses off. Alex, of all people should be in prime position to take advantage of defenses that have a primary gameplan to defend the screen pass, the run, and the pass under 10 yards. He didn't do it in SF and he won't do it in KC.
