Originally posted by tjd808185:
Originally posted by KegBert:
Unless you're trying to trade up. In that case a 2 carries more value than a 3. No need to over think it, it's pretty simple, a 2nd round pick is better than a 3rd.
Trading up into the top 12 or so (which is the only scenario where you'd trade a 2nd round pick) is rare, it requires a partner and cap space which is no guarantee.
I'm not saying a 3rd rounder is better, but it can be. To say otherwise is just ignoring how the draft works. It's not math or a science. You can make good moves on paper and have it blow up in your face. See NE. There was a time when everyone thought they were geniuses for acquiring future picks every year. In the end they just passed on prospects like Clay Matthews for nothing.
If KC makes the playoffs I'm not going to root for them to lose over a few spots. If they're 7-8 I'm not going to root for them to win over a round. Whatever pick we get make the most out of it. Hell the 3rd round has been really good to us.
I guess we will just have to agree to disagree, which is fine. I just don't think you will convince me a 3rd round pick is better for us than 2nd. I can pretty much guarentee you that Baalke would take the 2nd rounder.
I understand that the draft is very much a crap shoot. There is talent in all levels of the draft, hell there are UDFA's in the hall of fame and some more that are headed there. Also Trent has shown to be pretty damn good in the 2nd round. In 2011 we got our stud franchise QB, in 2012 we got James who is a very promising young back and this year we picked up Tank(an awesome value pick) and Vance who looks to be able to fill in nicely for Delanie and may become the red zone threat we've been needing.
I'm not saying he couldn't do just as well with a 3rd, he's proven to be pretty solid throught the draft (pulled our starting FB out of the 7th). I have a lot of faith in Baalke as a talent evaluator and drafter, so the more ammo he has the better I say.