Originally posted by Wubbie:
They're not misleading. You just have to think about what you're looking at instead of blindly throwing stats around.
Alex has high QB efficiency ratings, high completion percentage, and a low turnover ratio.. likewise, he also doesn't have the same amount of touchdowns as a lot of top-level guys, and he takes a lot of sacks. It means Alex is a methodical/conservative passer who is efficient, but probably not explosive. Alex is a coach's dream because he plays within the framework of the system and is an outstanding teammate.
(These past two years though have been interesting for Alex. For one, as another person mentioned, he tied the record for most quarterback comebacks in the regular season, and this year, he had a pretty high yards/attempt stat. When you consider yards/attempt and his efficiency rating, that says he was starting to develop a balance between high-percentage short passes, and low-percentage intermediate/deep passes. It makes me really wonder how Alex would've turned out if he was developed properly for several years in the same system. He'd probably be in the top 5 for completion percentage every season, and possibly broken the record.)
I think a lot of run-first teams with tough defenses (becoming a rarity in the league) would do extremely well with Alex. Alex could win with, obviously our team... the Ravens... the Patriots... the Broncos... the Vikings... the Seahawks... and a lot of other similarly built teams.
He's not the guy for a team that airs it out, like the Saints or the Colts, but with a good surrounding cast, he can definitely move the offense pretty consistently.
But going back to the original train of thought, about Alex's future, it'll be a good fit for him if he goes to Cleveland with Norv. They've got a young team, with a developing running game. I think he'd do well there.
Alex threw for a TD on 6% of his passes this year. That's way above league average and was in fact among league leaders. To put it into perspective - Joe Montana's career TD % was 5.1% and he only had 3 seasons over 6% with a reasonable number of attempts. His interception % this year is higher but is still among league leaders.
We also have the bonus of being among league leaders in drop %. When he stopped playing we were at around 7% of attempts.
Now obviously Alex isn't Montana, but let's criticize him for something legitimate. Last year he was at 3.8% which is closer to league average, but his interception % was off the charts great. They were playing a different kind of game as they installed the offense. Which it should be added got more explosive as the season went on.
It will be quite interesting to see what interest he garners in the off season.
[ Edited by Evilgenius on Jan 30, 2013 at 12:38 AM ]