Originally posted by SFL49ER:
I dont think any team that needs a qb will invest a third round pick for Alex. I just dont see it. He is not guaranteed a starting spot from any team that I can tell and I just think that us Niner fans are over-qualifying his credentials--the exact opposite of what GMs around the league are doing. They know Alex is not a qb who can carry a team to 12 win seasons. Teams know also they arent going to give Alex his current contract either when they dont know if hes going to grab that starting spot, so why give a third and pay that compensation for 8-8 seasons
I disagree completely. If you're a new GM, you don't want to wait 2-3 years for your rookie QB to make an impact, you also don't want to be picking up off the trash heap of free agents to hope and pray that a guy like Matt Moore can deliver for you. A 3rd round pick for a guy who has played as well as Alex is a BARGAIN, 3rd round is me trying to be conservative, ideally a 2nd rounder or multiple picks is not out of the question.
There's about 7 or 8 teams that Alex could be starting on next year, even if teams only select him to hold down the fort for a couple of seasons, a 3rd rounder is still a bargain, you know what the success rate of 2nd and 3rd round QB's is???
Bottomline, in the NFL, you need to be able to compete and if you have a smart veteran QB like Alex available, there will be significant interest and I trust Baalke to extract the maximum compensation possible.
Regardless of your personal feelings about Alex Smith, he's a valuable commodity in this league, and the 49ers will act accordingly.