Originally posted by SFL49ER:
This tweet right here tells the 49ers of the value they can expect to get from a team for Alex Smith: Which is not much. The qb needy teams like the aspect of teamplayer from Alex, but there is not going to be any high bidding for him because these teams are not going to sign him long term, and I believe that no team is going to make a deal for him at his salary of $8 million.
The trade deal, which is only possible because of the lack of talent in the draft, will happen in conjunction with Alex agreeing to restructure a deal. So, in reality, I believe Alex will be shopped with low expectations in return.
Heres a hypothetical: The highest bidder, IMO, will be Buffalo. They want competition for Fitzpatrick but are only offering around a fifth, because they want a prerequisite of Alex redoing his deal, and they are going to draft a qb. But Alex doesnt want to go to the AFC, much less a cold weather team, so there is no agreement from either side. So, at the end of the day, we will take a sixth or seventh from an NFC team with better talent around him so he can compete to start.
My money is on Tampa Bay giving up a seventh and getting him
49ers will get a 3rd or 4th round pick for Alex, simply because he's worth it and its a sellers market for QB's this year.
If you're a team without a QB or with a mediocre QB, who are you going to get better than Alex? Who are you going to find on the free agent market that is a better player? In regards to the draft, if you're a new GM, you don't want to take a chance with a 2nd or 3rd rounder that may or may not be ready, history says that you're more likely to wind up with an AJ Feeley than you are a Russell Wilson.
49ers will get decent compensation for Alex because be's a proven quality starter and there are plenty of QB-hungry teams desperate for talent. If Kevin Kolb who had a career QB rating of about 79, was traded for a 2nd round pick and a then-Pro-Bowl CB, and if an aging, creaky, injury-prone Carson Palmer was traded for a 1st and 2nd rounder, 49ers will be getting far better than a 7th round pick, which is absolutely nonsense.
Special teamers get traded for 7th round picks, a 28 year old QB with a rating of 104, a passing accuracy of 70% and a highly reasonable contract will draw far more.
[ Edited by Phoenix49ers on Jan 29, 2013 at 7:46 PM ]