My best guess on where QBs will land in 2011:
Veterans to be traded - likely starters
1.) Vince Young, Tennessee - traded to Carolina
The out-of-Luck Panthers need a veteran playmaker, and VY could be a short-term answer for them until Clausen develops. Carolina will likely draft A.J. Green, so their offense might actually come to life next season.
2.) Kyle Orton, Denver - traded to Minnesota
Whether or not McDaniels gets the OC job here, Orton is a midwest kid who would probably love to come back to the area, and would solidify the Vikings QB position for the next few years until (or if) Joe Webb can be developed.
3.) Donovan McNabb, Washington - traded to Arizona
Whisenhunt hopes lightning strikes twice with a supposed "washed up" veteran leading his team back to glory. DM might buy them just enough time to develop Skelton and use their #5 overall on a pass rusher or CB.
4.) Kevin Kolb, Philadelphia - traded to Seattle
Surprisingly, the Seahawks have a lot of talent across the board, and are only a veteran QB away from being long-term contenders in the NFC. They willingly give up their late 1st rounder (and a little more) to stabilize their QB situation.
5.) Josh Johnson, Tampa Bay - traded to San Francisco
Makes perfect sense. Harbaugh is reunited with Johnson, who could come and run Jim's system quicker and more efficiently than most (see Harbaugh's comments about JJ's intelligence). We could still sign a veteran QB like Matt Hasselback, Jon Kitna or Billy Volek as a team stabilizer/QB mentor as well as draft a QB somewhere in the first 3 rounds to develop. But pairing Harbaugh one more time with "The Golden Goose" just might be the answer for us in the near-term.
Veterans to be signed - likely backups
1.) Matt Hasselback - Signs with San Francisco
Veteran leadership, mentoring skills and very capable backup
2.) Alex Smith - Signs with Miami
Alex trys to rebuild his career and pry away the starting job from Henne (neither should be too hard)
3.) Jon Kitna - Signs with Washington
Veteran who can still play; solid citizen and mentor to young QB Shanny brings in
4.) Billy Volek - Signs with Cleveland
Proven, solid backup and insurance policy for Colt McCoy
5.) Tavaris Jackson - Signs with Philadelphia
Nice development backup to Vick
Rookie early draft picks
1.) Buffalo - drafts Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
They'll have a hard time attracting quality veteran free agent QBs, so they go the development route. Gabbert will have time to sit and watch behind Fitzpatrick, and give hope to Bills fans everywhere that they MIGHT have a future.
2.) Miami - trades up and drafts Cameron Newton
Yes, they have Henne and I projected them to sign Alex Smith, but they still need a long-term answer and someone worth developing. Cam is all of that and more.
3.) Tennessee - drafts Ryan Mallett, Arkansas
A taller, less athletic version of Carson Palmer.
4.) Washington - drafts Jake Locker, Washington
Shanahan takes on the biggest project of his career.
5.) San Francisco - drafts Ricky Stanzi in the 3rd/4th round *Rounds out the 49er QB depth chart for 2011*
Starter - Josh Johnson
Veteran backup - Matt Hasselback
Rookie 3rd stringer - Ricky Stanzi
Note: Not using an early pick on a QB and trading for JJ/signing Hasselback allows us to go with a young/talented QB that has a veteran backup. More importantly, it gives us the chance to draft a pass rusher or CB with that #7 pick. Not to mention, the QB class next year should be WAY better than this one (Andrew Luck, Landry Jones, Matt Barkley, Terrelle Pryor, Brandon Weeden, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin III, Kellen Moore, Kirk Cousins, Dominique Davis, etc.).
[ Edited by GhostofFredDean74 on Jan 11, 2011 at 12:12 AM ]