Originally posted by 49ersMyLife:
Originally posted by GhostofFredDean74:
Originally posted by KowboyKiller:
Mike Mayock talks draft
MIKE MAYOCK: I like Gabbert a lot. He can throw. He’s a bigger kid than I think everybody thinks. I’ve got more homework to do with him especially football IQ wise and off the field. He had a couple of bad games. And I think it was a Nebraska tape, he was like 18 for 42 if I remember. I think it was just a bad game.
But if you put the tape on, you realize the kid didn’t realize he had a second to throw the football. Nebraska’s getting home with three and four defensive linemen. Didn’t even have to blitz. They were killing him.
So you’ve got to take with a grain of salt some of the poor performances of Gabbert. And I’ve probably seen at least seven of his games purely on tape. He reminds me of the guys that have done well the last couple of years. He reminds me of Bradford. He reminds me of Matt Ryan.
If you look at the last three years, NFL teams have done a really good job with their first round quarterbacks. It’s been like six hits in a row with no bust. Which probably means we’re due for a couple of busts this year.
Can't wait to hear what the Gabbert-haters will say in response to this.
I don't hate Gabbert, but to me - he is nothin' like either one of those players. Mayock has made plenty of mistakes himself. I think Gabbert is a 1st round pick, somewhere in the 10-15 range - no where close to being a top 5 pick.
Even Walsh made mistakes in the draft, which lets you know how inexact a science it really is. All a scout/personnel man can do is look at the talent and project a guy based on that...it's almost impossible to correctly factor in all of the intangibles (will the guy work hard, is he a warrior, does he have the mental capacity to learn an NFL playbook, can he push aside personal problems and focus on football, can he stay healthy, is he surrounded by the right coaching staff, the right talent, is he in the right system for his skill-set, etc., etc., etc.).
There's just so much that can go wrong with young players, that guys like Mayock, Kiper, McShay, Baalke, Bill Walsh, MadDog, OTC, you name it, are going to be wrong more times than they are right.
But, when guys like Mayock et al, break down film, and they come away impressed with what they see on tape, it means something (it doesn't mean everything...but it means something). It obviously doesn't mean the guy's an automatic pro-bowler (given the factors mentioned above), but it usually means the guy has a talent level worthy of a high pick. The rest....who knows?
So I don't trust that Mayock will be 100% right about everyone, but I do trust that his ability to break down tape and come away with the right grade for a prospect is vastly superior to anyone on this forum or any other fan site. So if he says this kid is good and that Gabbert reminds him of Bradford/Ryan, I'm not going to argue...but that's me.
And for the record, even though I'd prefer Quinn, Miller or even Peterson at #7, I think Gabbert will be the pick.
[ Edited by GhostofFredDean74 on Feb 18, 2011 at 12:24 AM ]