Originally posted by Ninerjohn:
I guess it depends on your definition of franchise QB. I would look at teams that are in good situations at QB and would not be looking for a replacement. BAsed on that criteria then over 1/2 the teams in the league are in good shape.
Cream of the Crop
Brady
Manning
Rogers
Brees
Rivers
Vick
Big Ben
Ryan
Below the top but still solid NFL Qbs or young future stars
Bradford
Flacco
Eli Manning
Freeman
Stafford
Romo
Schaub
Cutler
Cassell
Sanchez
So.. in my opinion 18 of the 32 NFL teams are set at QB.
This is the list that's actually relevant for us. The reason it's relevant is because when you look at how these teams got these QBs it makes it pretty clear what we need to do.
Cream of the Crop
Brady
6th round pick
Manning
1st round pick
Rogers
1st round pick
Brees
FA, former 2nd round pick (picked 33 over all)
Rivers
1st round pick
Vick
FA, former 1st round pick
Big Ben
1st round pick
Ryan
1st round pick
Below the top but still solid NFL Qbs or young future stars
Bradford
1st round pick
Flacco
1st round pick
Eli Manning
1st round pick
Freeman
1st round pick
Stafford
1st round pick
Romo
undrafted FA
Schaub
trade, former 3rd round pick
Cutler
trade, former 1st round pick
Cassell
trade, former 7th round pick
Sanchez
1st round pick
See a trend here? Out of the 18 teams with solid QBs, 11 drafted them in the 1st round. 5 acquired them through trade or free agency, but most of those QBs were high picks originally. Only 2 teams got their guy as a late round or undrafted rookie.
So, what this tells me is that unless you have an opportunity to get a talented AND young QB through trade or free agency, you HAVE to draft one in the first round.
Romo and Brady are ANOMALIES! You can not expect solve your QB problem with a guy that no one else thought would be any good. That happens once every 10 years.
Sometimes teams get lucky and are able to get a top QB later because they slip in the draft. But picking up anyone outside the top group of a QBs in a draft when you're looking for anything more than a backup IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY!
Even though I too can see the flaws with guys like Newton, Locker, and Mallet, we pretty much have to take one of them. If one them slips and we can get them in the second, then great. But gambling that Stanzi or some other mid round QB is going to end up being our franchise QB is like using the lottery as your retirement plan. CRAZY, CHEAP, and DELUSIONAL.
Sorry to turn this into a draft post, but seeing this list really clarified what I'd already been thinking.
[ Edited by TheFunkyChicken on Dec 18, 2010 at 3:55 PM ]