Atlanta, Giants, Dallas Watch dog thread

These are the teams that stand between us an a wild card birth. We need Atl to lose one of the last 3, hopefully this week against the Jets. Thats the only team that really scares me.

We need something like this to play out. And it could very easily unfold like this.

49ers with 9-7 clinch #6 seed
@Phi--W
Det--W
StL--W

Dal with 9-7
@NO--L
@Was--W
Phi--L

NYG with 9-7
@Was--W
Car--W
@Min--L

Atl with 8-8
@NYJ--L
Buf--W
@TB--W

If this happens we win due to tie breakers. So this is the watch dog thread!

[ Edited by MadMartz on Dec 15, 2009 at 14:38:35 ]

I'm not getting my hopes up for any of this

To get the #6 spot, we need to:

Win out
Dallas lose 2 games
Atlanta lose 1 game
New York Giants lose 1 game

To win the division, we need to:

Win out
Arizona lose 2 games

OR

Win 2 games
Arizona lose out

I think I saw that we have a 16% chance to make the playoffs. I think that's pretty good considering where we're at.

Our last game is @STL by the way.

Originally posted by YourHuckleberry:
To get the #6 spot, we need to:

Win out
Dallas lose 2 games
Atlanta lose 1 game
New York Giants lose 1 game

To win the division, we need to:

well beating the Eagles will definitely improve our chances. But other than that, I think it's very possible for the Giants and Falcons to lose another game.

If we beat Philly on Sunday, then I'll jump on this hope train.

Originally posted by teeohh:
I'm not getting my hopes up for any of this

The most important phrase so far in this thread is "win out." Failing to do so ends our season, which probably happened in Seattle anyways. But as was said, if we win against Philly, I will jump on this wagon.

TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.
Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.

Originally posted by King49er:
TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.
Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.

If Dallas loses 2 out of 3 and the 49ers win 2 out of 3 then we'll have them because of the Conference record tie breaker.


However, we need the Giants and the Falcons to start losing as well


But it appears that Atlanta has the easiest last 3 games, and they have a head to head tie breaker against us.

We have the same conference record as the Giants, and better record than Atlanta.


So it looks like if we keep wining, then we need Atlanta to really start losing.

[ Edited by King49er on Dec 15, 2009 at 15:05:48 ]

I think it's very possible that those other teams lose the games needed, but I doubt we can win out the rest of the way.

Originally posted by King49er:

Originally posted by King49er:
TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.
Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.

If Dallas loses 2 out of 3 and the 49ers win 2 out of 3 then we'll have them because of the Conference record tie breaker.


However, we need the Giants and the Falcons to start losing as well


But it appears that Atlanta has the easiest last 3 games, and they have a head to head tie breaker against us.

We have the same conference record as the Giants, and better record than Atlanta.


So it looks like if we keep wining, then we need Atlanta to really start losing.

We just need Atl to lose 1.

Originally posted by MadMartz:

Originally posted by King49er:

Originally posted by King49er:
TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.
Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.

If Dallas loses 2 out of 3 and the 49ers win 2 out of 3 then we'll have them because of the Conference record tie breaker.


However, we need the Giants and the Falcons to start losing as well


But it appears that Atlanta has the easiest last 3 games, and they have a head to head tie breaker against us.

We have the same conference record as the Giants, and better record than Atlanta.


So it looks like if we keep wining, then we need Atlanta to really start losing.

We just need Atl to lose 1.

Wow, you're right, what the hell was I lookin at, I thought they were 7-6

Originally posted by NinerFanMT:

Originally posted by teeohh:
I'm not getting my hopes up for any of this

Philly at home is the hardest part of this entire path.

Originally posted by Chief:
Philly at home is the hardest part of this entire path.

yup