This is why someone like Bill Walsh would probably never survive in TODAY'S NFL. Instant improvement is expected. There is no "three year plan." It's been replaced by "win or else."
In BW's first year, he stripped the 49ers bare. He essentially turned the roster over and rebuilt the team with his first draft, plus signed castoffs from other teams. In his first season, 1979, the great BW managed to win a total of two (count them) games.
The next season? 1980? More purges. More draft picks. The Niners won their first three games -- then went through a horrible nine game losing streak before winning three more. That nine game losing streak probably would have cost most coaches their jobs.
The third season? The Niners stumbled out of the gate to a 1-2 start. They looked God awful. And then? Finally? The magic happened.
Reggie should have turned the roster over sooner. It took him two years to do it when he should have dumped every malcontent that first year and lived with the results. But Mark Davis was pushing for "instant results," so he was forced to hang onto some of the dead wood and it hurt him. He finally got around to shoving the rest of the dead wood out the door this past off-season -- which is good for the Raiders in the long term -- but bad for Reggie's short-term job security.
Another bad move on Reggie's part was hiring Dennis Allen. He was too young, and worse yet, was not an offensive mind. It's the same mistake the 49ers made when we hired Mike NoWin. The dude simple could not call two offensive plays back to back. He lacked the ability. And when you can't run or create an offense? You're screwed beyond belief. Because the really good offensive minds you hire as offensive coordinators will not stick around for long. The position becomes a revolving door. We saw that happen with Alex Smith during the dark years.
Defensive coordinators, for the most part, do not make good head coaches. Yes, there are exceptions to this rule and I understand that. But offensive coordinators succeed far more at the top spot than DC's do.
Bottom line? The Raiders could surprise us with some decent play out of the QB position, but that defense is going to need four or five months together before it begins to jell and settle down. Look for the Raiders to get ripped pretty badly when the season starts. I think we'll see some shootouts. They might improve in the second half of the season, and I hope they do, as it will enhance long-term job prospects for both Reggie and Dennis. I'm not sure if Dennis is still the answer, but I really believe a coach needs three years to prove himself. In Oakland's case? Because Reggie took so long to tear things down, he may need an additional year. I don't know if he'll get it, but the Raiders are clearly in long-term rebuild mold.
Bottom line? I'd like to see the Raiders start winning again. I like the Silver and Black. I always have. If you came up during the days of Stabler, Casper, Branch, The Stork and so many others, it was impossible NOT to like the team. I'd like to see that again, rather than another lost season.
[ Edited by billbird2111 on Sep 3, 2013 at 5:27 PM ]