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9ersLiferInChicago Mock - 1.0

I must admit that this off season has been one of, if not the, most difficult for me in many years to digest. Our FO is a real piece of work. I have never before been more disgusted with our FO, NEVER. To me, there are fewer better examples of self sabotage to compare this to. And when one really look into the reasons for it you become even more disgusted. This was a wet dream even a 40 year old virgin man could not screw up, yet our FO found away to. And to compound this our GM, who hasn't had a productive draft in a while now, didn't even try to bring in an impact player (for a team starving for impact players) due mainly to bare naked cheapness, IMHO. No one said spend all the cap space on one player. But Zane Beadles, Thad Lewis, and re-signing Williams - REALLY? That's it?! This would make sense if Baalke's draft picks over the last couple of seasons were ripping the NFL up.

With that off my chest, it is what it is. I still was able to put together a really good mock, as usual I think this draft needs to be heavy on the defense, given Chip's propensity to work a defense. This is an area that I think Chip is just gonna have to tweak his offence. This is not college where he had a near unlimited supply of talent with no roster limit. Chip is gonna have to accept that he has a 53 man roster of grown men, and he just can't pressure the defense like he does and expect long-term success. As normal, I don't predict trade. In fact, this year I'm not at all in favor of trading for picks, especially moving back. We've moved back enough in far too many drafts and the roster sorely reflects it. We have enough picks. I'm actually glad that Kaep will be on the roster this season. He can bridge the new QB and if he plays well, which will increase his trade value. Finally, no more injury Baalke specials and projects. This team has no more time to be waiting on "value" to pan out or spend a whole season healing. We need impact players who can come in and contribute now, not later.

1.
QB - Jared Goff, Cal. 6-4, 210
(QB Carson Wentz, ILB Miles Jack, ILB ReOLB, Joey Bosa, DE DeForest Buckner)
This pick needs no explanation. I've been going back and forth on this though - Goff or Wentz. In the end I think Goff will be the better pick. If he and Wentz are gone I think we should go Miles Jack or Ragland. I know that Goff don't really have a history of injury's, but at this level he cannot play QB at 215 and expect to remain healthy. He's gonna have to put on at least 10-15, preferably 20lbs of muscle. Now, I think it will really be smart to sit Goff for a season and let Kaep bridge him in. (Get use to it folks, Kaep is here for this season.) And sitting out that year will allow him to get his body right for NFL usage.


2.
ILB - Kentrell Brothers, Missouri. 6-1, 249lbs
(QB, Paxton Lynch, DE Kevin Dodd, CB, William Jackson III)
Unlike most I think ILB is a real need for this defense. Ragland and Jack ar long gone by now. But Brothers was a real impact ILB for Mizzou, and will be in the NFL. The better 3-4 schemes have two studs in the middle, not one stud and some serviceable guy. I do want us to trade back up in the first and get Reggie Ragland. But Brothers would be a very good compliment along side Bowman, as his skill-set is very similar to his. Highly instinctive. Great in the open field. Aggressive, physical tackler. Diagnoses the run very well. But like most coming out he'll need to get better in coverage, but he is better than most ILB in coverage coming out. He's gonna have to learn to trust the scheme and not rely so much on his athleticism.


3.
CB - Xavien Howard, Baylor. 6-1, 200lbs, 4-44 at proday (CB, Maurice Canady; ILB, Scooby Wright)
I know that we have a lot of bodies at this position. What bothers me is that none of that talent is a real, true number one guy. It seems that all we have is just a collection of decent bodies, but not a true hands down starter. T. Brock isn't too durable and cannot be counted on for a complete season. D. Johnson, who I think it's criminal that he's not getting more playing time with the first team, should be starting. Xavien Howard is one disruptive kid and would come in and be a day one starter. Very willing and physical tackler. Was put on an island most of his time at Baylor, always put up against teams' best WR., so he has all kinds of shutdown ability.


4.
NG/DT - Hassan Ridgeway, 6-3, 303lbs, Texas
Definite Ian Williams insurance here. Ridgeway is very much in the mold of Williams. Strong, violant hands, holds his ground, will honor both A-gaps in the run game, and provide better than reasonable pocket pressure and disruption. Ridgeway will command a double team, in particular on run downs, which will protect our LB's and allow them to run free.


5.
OLB - Romeo Okwara, Notra Dame 6-5, 265lbs (DE convert).
I have to say I'm not really thrilled at the OLB coming out. Most of the top guys coming out are just too light for a 3-4 OLB. See Eli Harold. Would rather get a really good tweener DE and stand him up. Okwara is an ideal target for OLB conversion. Okwara is a high motor guy; plays all out on every play. Extremely athletic, of the Aron Lynch mold. Uses his hands very well to deal with blockers. Not a one-trick pony; has many tools to get to the QB. Will have to play with more discipline and learn to shed blockers better. But with Brooks and Lynch in front of him he'll have time to learn.


6.
WR - De'Runnya Wilson, Miss. State, 6-5, 224.
Not gonna burn anybody, but then we already have a few burners on the roster. This guy will be a match-up nightmare for CB's. Big and physical at the LOS. Very reliable catcher. GREAT LEAPER, witch is important at the goal line and perfect for not-so-accurate passers like Kaep. Has some character issues that dropped him. But like I said, we need impact players.


7.
CB - Daryl Worley, W. Virginia, 6-2, 204.
A real steal here, and will definitely push a CB off the roster. In the NFL size matters. Extremely productive. Worley is a big disruptive CB at the LOS that will re-roubt WR's forcing the QB to hold the ball a split second longer. Very good ball skills and fluidity for a CB his size. Very often can be found sniffing around the LOS for run support; one of the better run support CB's coming out.
http://www.patriots.com/video/2016/02/11/2016-draft-prospects-daryl-worley-cb-west-virginia

8.
OG - Pearce Slater, San Diego State, 6-7, 329 (OT convert).
A JUCO transfer. Large, powerful kid! Ideal swing tackle candidate. At OT he has a very good drop-step, and he's very hard for speed rushers to get around him. At OG he's a real mean mauler when run blocking. A real leader across the O-line (team captain) and very high character. This guy is a year two starter, day one starter on many teams. Need to fix his hand placement tech.

9.
DE/DT - Anthony Zettel, 6-4, 277lbs. Penn State.
Projects nicely as a 3-4 DE. Very high motor. Consistently pressures the pocket Great snap anticipation. Can play every technique inside the 6 Tech. Can get out of control at times. Will come right in and compete for a starting spot at the DE spot, especially given that Tank is being looked at to switch to OLB.


10.
OG/OT - Avery Young, Auburn, 6-5, 328.
Really like this kid. A Juco transfer to Auburn. Very athletic, light on his feet, which is good for our O-line scheme. Can play OG and OT, on both sides too, but likely OG mainly in the NFL. Will have to develop better point of attack techniques. But excellent, violent pulling OG.


11.
RB - Devon Johnson, 6-0, 238, Marshall.
Gotta get a look at this kids highlights. The thought that there are backs better than his is scary. This guy is everything we need in a RB. Extremely physical. WILL NOT be brought down by one guy or at first contact. North/south one cut runner that hits the hole really fast. Runs with serious anger and abusive power, and surprisingly fast for a guy his size. Can catch out the backfield (he's a former TE). Not a liability in the passing game. In fact, this kid would come in and be one of the better blocking backs on our roster. Great attitude and high character - will play multiple positions if need be, offense and defense (played LB too). The only issue with this kid is that he's battled injuries throughout his football career, but he's battled them quite well. The good thing is that if we draft him he won't be the featured back, so he won't get the ware-&-tear. Will have to learn to run at pad-level as he runs a little too high.


12.
OLB - Ian Seau, 6-2, 259lbs, Nevada
Worth a look here. The nephew of one Junior Seau. Kind of reminds me of Dan Skuta. Good speed off the edge, but will need to develop more moves to get around NFL OT's. Really gets around the edge fast. Is a real thumper: get to the QB with a little anger. The only one of this draft list that will take some "coaching up", but great ST option though.


All those picks are impact players that won't take a bunch of project and "coach'm up" time from the coaches, save for Ian Seau. And for a new coaching regime it important to hit the ground running, and if they can devote a bit more time on scheming our chances of turning this thing around sooner looks better. I know player development is important, but the right scheme/development balance must be found. If you have too many players that are projects that sucks a lot of time for scheming

Projected starters based on my mock:
Offence:

QB - Keap (Get use to it folks, he won't be traded and Gabbert isn't beating him out.)
LT - Staley
LG - Beadles
C - Kilgore
RG - Tiller
RT - A. Davis/T. Brown
TE - Celek
WR - Boldin
WR - Smith
RB - Hyde
FB - Miller

Defense:

DE - Zettel/Dial (if Tank is transistioned to OLB)
NG - Williams/Ridgeway/Dorsey
DE - Armstead (no way he don't start)
OLB - Brooks
OLB - Lynch
ILB - Bowman
ILB - Brothers
CB - Howard
CB - Johnson/Brock
FS - Reid
SS - Tartt

Don't know about you guys but that looks like a very good starting line up that should win, pending scheme. Thoughts?
Way too much defense. Too low in OL. We already have mid to low range OL in Thomas, Silberman, Martin, Devey. Boldin? Miller? Chip Kelly is the head coach. Beadles-Kilgore-Tiller-Brown? Did you watch the offense last year? With that line Goff will play by the fifth game. He'll also get killed and Lewis will play. And all that defense and no pass rush.
Originally posted by Paul_Hofer:
Way too much defense. Too low in OL. We already have mid to low range OL in Thomas, Silberman, Martin, Devey. Boldin? Miller? Chip Kelly is the head coach. Beadles-Kilgore-Tiller-Brown? Did you watch the offense last year? With that line Goff will play by the fifth game. He'll also get killed and Lewis will play. And all that defense and no pass rush.
Did you actually read the mock, or just overreact when you saw Goff at the top? And the collection of "low range" OL are actually below low range. Silberman and Devey simply don't belong and probably won't see the 53.

And all that defense and no pass rush.

Yeah, you could not have read the whole mock.
[ Edited by 9ersLiferInChicago on Mar 31, 2016 at 12:55 PM ]
I like it but want an OL guy in the first 4 rounds
Needs more OL as others have stated. Getting a 2 down ILB in the 2nd isn't really a good value. They need more of a coverage guy alongside Bowman, not another thumper. I would hope for G or C in the at least the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I do like the Ridgeway pick, he would be a nice addition to the DL.
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Needs more OL as others have stated. Getting a 2 down ILB in the 2nd isn't really a good value. They need more of a coverage guy alongside Bowman, not another thumper. I would hope for G or C in the at least the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I do like the Ridgeway pick, he would be a nice addition to the DL.

This.

I don't think Brothers brings much more to the table than Hodges, especially in coverage where we need the upgrade. Grabbing a future franchise QB helps but getting him an Oline to play behind is just as important. Ridgeway is solid but there are immediate starters available in the 2nd that you passed on and I'm not sure our pass rush gets better with this. OLB certainly isn't a strength in this draft but there are a few better options of guys that can get to the QB better than Okwara. Wilson is also a very slow WR. Nice size but would prefer a Charone Peake in those mid to late rounds.

Looking forward to 2.0
[ Edited by Sims19849ers on Mar 31, 2016 at 1:19 PM ]
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Needs more OL as others have stated. Getting a 2 down ILB in the 2nd isn't really a good value. They need more of a coverage guy alongside Bowman, not another thumper. I would hope for G or C in the at least the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I do like the Ridgeway pick, he would be a nice addition to the DL.

This
Thanks for the write up. I enjoyed this Mock draft. And it's not the normal picks that all the other mocks have so I liked that. I like Brothers and with Tartt emergence if we keep Bethea I can see us only playing 1 ILB in passing situations and do what the Cards do and bring in a 3rd safety. So having a 2 down LB isn't the worst. I would prefer not in the 2nd but it's ur draft and Brothers could become a Keith Bullock kind of linebacker which no one should complain about. Good mock
Originally posted by LasVegasWally:
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Needs more OL as others have stated. Getting a 2 down ILB in the 2nd isn't really a good value. They need more of a coverage guy alongside Bowman, not another thumper. I would hope for G or C in the at least the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I do like the Ridgeway pick, he would be a nice addition to the DL.

This

This again
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Needs more OL as others have stated. Getting a 2 down ILB in the 2nd isn't really a good value. They need more of a coverage guy alongside Bowman, not another thumper. I would hope for G or C in the at least the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I do like the Ridgeway pick, he would be a nice addition to the DL.
Maybe I'm mis-reading this but where do I have us taking 2 ILB in the 2nd? And while I do think our O-line was just atrocious, I don't think we're bare of good talent there. What we've been suffering from is mis-match scheme with talent (JH) and just poor talent evaluation and poor scheme with talent (Jimmie T.). But there are a couple of guys who I think simply don't belong on this roster and can be replaced by guys coming out in this draft, namely Devey, Silberman, and Pears. The two O-lineman in my mock would replace two of those.

Originally posted by Hysterikal:
Thanks for the write up. I enjoyed this Mock draft. And it's not the normal picks that all the other mocks have so I liked that. I like Brothers and with Tartt emergence if we keep Bethea I can see us only playing 1 ILB in passing situations and do what the Cards do and bring in a 3rd safety. So having a 2 down LB isn't the worst. I would prefer not in the 2nd but it's ur draft and Brothers could become a Keith Bullock kind of linebacker which no one should complain about. Good mock
Thanx. I was thinking this, but it will depend alot on how well our new DC schemes and how creative he is with substitutions.
Originally posted by 9ersLiferInChicago:
Maybe I'm mis-reading this but where do I have us taking 2 ILB in the 2nd?

Brothers is a 2 down ILB in the NFL. He's not a guy you want dropping back in coverage regularly. I don't see the fit on this team, with Bowman clearly not himself, they need an ILB that can comfortably and capably drop back into coverage, that isn't Brothers.
Originally posted by Sims19849ers:
This.
Looking forward to 2.0
Well, I can tell you that Brothers will probably be on a possible 2.0. And who do you think would be a better fit than Okwara, and why?
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Originally posted by 9ersLiferInChicago:
Maybe I'm mis-reading this but where do I have us taking 2 ILB in the 2nd?

Brothers is a 2 down ILB in the NFL. He's not a guy you want dropping back in coverage regularly. I don't see the fit on this team, with Bowman clearly not himself, they need an ILB that can comfortably and capably drop back into coverage, that isn't Brothers.
Ummm, and Wilhoite is? Have you seen him in coverage? Besides, Mizzou's D scheme didn't ask him to drop back in coverage much. So to declare that he can't do something that he hasn't been asked to do much is ridiculous. Plus, most NFL rookie LB's don't cover NFL complicated passing schemes that well. To expect such is just unreasonable. Bottom line, Brothers has very similar to Bowman in that he diagnosis plays very well, and seldom is he caught out of position. So I have no doubt that with reps Brothers will win that ILB spot besides Bowman very easily.
Originally posted by 9ersLiferInChicago:
Ummm, and Wilhoite is? Have you seen him in coverage? Besides, Mizzou's D scheme didn't ask him to drop back in coverage much. So to declare that he can't do something that he hasn't been asked to do much is ridiculous. Plus, most NFL rookie LB's don't cover NFL complicated passing schemes that well. To expect such is just unreasonable. Bottom line, Brothers has very similar to Bowman in that he diagnosis plays very well, and seldom is he caught out of position. So I have no doubt that with reps Brothers will win that ILB spot besides Bowman very easily.


Wilhoite isn't costing you a 2nd rounder. Brothers is the definition of a 2 down ILB. Shorter guy with really short arms, limited athletic ability, he's a less-sure tackler version of Borland.

With questions about whether or not Bowman will ever get back to his old form, the 49ers don't need another thumper next to Bowman, they need a guy who can fly around the field and make plays, a guy who can drop back into coverage and more than hold his own with RB's and TE's.


In short they need a guy who complements Bowman rather than replicates him at a lesser level. Brothers isn't that guy IMO.






• Lacks elite speed and takes false steps in coverage. May be limited to two-down role in NFL
• Struggles against the pass were evident in his missed tackles too, missing a tackle once every 6.2 attempted in coverage, compared with once every 12.1 against the run in 2015. His tackling efficiency in coverage ranked 34th amongst the 65 linebackers in this draft class who played at least 120 snaps last season
• Despite the above, still wasn't great as a tackler against the run, with his efficiency in that aspect ranking 30th out of 65. The same was true of his tackling in 2014

https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2016/03/31/draft-pff-scouting-report-kentrell-brothers-lb-missouri/
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