We are finally into April, and that means one thing: We are in Draft Month. Here is my full draft projection, which is not a direct mock, since trades shuffle nearly one fourth of the slots. It is simply a ballpark idea where I believe a player will be selected. Working extensively on the back fifty picks this week. Feeling good about the front 200.
2015 NFL Draft 256 Big Board
Pick Player School Position
1 Jameis Winston Florida St QB
2 Marcus Mariota Oregon QB
3 Leonard Williams USC DT
4 Amari Cooper Alabama WR
5 Kevin White West Virginia WR
6 Dante Fowler Florida DE/LB
7 Danny Shelton Washington DT
8 Vic Beasley Clemson LB
9 Shane Ray Missouri DE/LB
10 Brandon Scherff Iowa OT
11 Todd Gurley Georgia RB
12 Randy Gregory Nebraska DE/LB
13 Trae Waynes Michigan St CB
14 DJ Humphries Florida OT
15 DeVante Parker Louisville WR
16 Andrus Peat Stanford OT
17 Melvin Gordon Wisconsin RB
18 La'El Collins LSU OT/G
19 Alvin Dupree Kentucky DE/OLB
20 Ereck Flowers Miami OT
21 Malcom Brown Texas DT
22 TJ Clemmings Pittsburgh OT
23 Kevin Johnson Wake Forest CB
24 Jaelen Strong Arizona St WR
25 Eddie Goldman Florida St DT
26 Landon Collins Alabama S
27 Arik Armstead Oregon DE/DT
28 Breshad Perriman Central Florida WR
29 Carl Davis Iowa DT
30 Cameron Erving Florida St C/G
31 Owamagbe Odighizuwa UCLA DE/OLB
32 Jalen Collins LSU CB
33 Byron Jones Connecticut CB
34 Eli Harold Virginia DE/OLB
35 Marcus Peters Washington CB
36 Jordan Phillips Oklahoma DT
37 Bryce Petty Baylor QB
38 Dorial Green-Beckham Missouri WR
39 Jake Fisher Oregon OT
40 Phillip Dorsett Miami WR
41 Eric Kendricks UCLA LB
42 PJ Williams Florida St CB
43 Stephone Anthony Clemson LB
44 Ronald Darby Florida St CB
45 Eric Rowe Utah S/CB
46 Benardrick McKinney Mississippi St LB
47 Preston Smith Mississippi St DE
48 Brett Hundley UCLA QB
49 Tevin Coleman Indiana RB
50 Cedric Ogbuehi Texas A&M G
51 Michael Bennett Ohio St DT
52 Paul Dawson TCU LB
53 Shaq Thompson Washington LB
54 Maxx Williams Minnesota TE
55 Devin Smith Ohio St WR
56 Quinten Rollins Miami (OH) CB/S
57 Nelson Agholor USC WR
58 Denzel Perryman Miami LB
59 Grady Jarrett Clemson DT
60 AJ Cann South Carolina G
61 Garrett Grayson Colorado St QB
62 Cody Prewitt Mississippi S
63 Sammie Coates Auburn WR
64 Donovan Smith Penn St OT
65 Jay Ajayi Boise St RB
66 Laken Tomlinson Duke G
67 Marcus Hardison Arizona St DT
68 TJ Yeldon Alabama RB
69 Danielle Hunter LSU LB
70 Ty Lockett Kansas St WR
71 Devin Funchess Michigan WR/TE
72 Damarious Randall Arizona St S
73 Nate Orchard Utah DE/OLB
74 Clive Walford Miami TE
75 Mario Edwards Florida St DE
76 David Johnson Northern Iowa RB
77 Xavier Cooper Washington St DT
78 Jaquiski Tartt Samford S
79 Ifo Ekpre-Olomu Oregon CB
80 Darron Smith Fresno St S
81 Ameer Abdullah Nebraska RB
82 Tre' Jackson Florida St G
83 Anthony Harris Virginia S
84 Hroniss Grasu Oregon C
85 Duke Johnson Miami RB
86 Ty Sambrailo Colorado St OT
87 Jamil Douglas Arizona St G
88 Lorenzo Mauldin Louisville OLB
89 Henry Anderson Stanford DT
90 John Miller Louisville G
91 Ali Marpet Hobard C
92 Jamison Crowder Duke WR
93 D'Joun Smith Florida Atlantic CB
94 Kwon Alexander LSU DE/OLB
95 Trey Flowers Arkansas DE/OLB
96 James Sample Louisville S
97 Justin Hardy East Carolina WR
98 Alex Carter Stanford CB
99 Jordan Hicks Texas LB
100 Tre McBride William and Mary WR
101 Rob Haverstein Wisconsin OT
102 Darryl Williams Oklahoma OT
103 Steven Nelson Oregon St CB
104 Markus Golden Missouri DE/OLB
105 David Parry Stanford DT
106 Anthony Chickillo Miami DE
107 Gabe Wright Auburn DT
108 Doran Grant Ohio St CB
109 Josh Shaw USC CB
110 Rashad Greene Florida St WR
111 Martrell Spaight Arkansas LB
112 David Cobb Minnesota RB
113 Ibraheim Campbell Northwestern S
114 Jesse James Penn St TE
115 Hayes Pullard USC LB
116 Joey Mbu Houston DT
117 Za'Darius Smith Kentucky DE
118 Javoris Allen USC RB
119 Antwan Goodley Baylor WR
120 Durell Eskridge Syracuse S
121 Gerod Holliman Louisville S
122 Mitch Morse Missouri OT/G
123 Kurtis Drummond Michigan St S
124 Nick O'Leary Florida St TE
125 Jeff Heuerman Ohio St TE
126 Adrian Amos Penn St S
127 Jordan Richards Stanford S
128 Arie Kouandjio Alabama G
129 Chris Conley Georgia WR
130 Darren Waller Georgia Tech WR
131 Hau'oli Kikaha Washington DE/OLB
132 Davis Tull Tennessee Chattanooga LB
133 Andy Gallik Boston College C
134 Tyler Kroft Rutgers TE
135 Andrew Donnal Iowa OT
136 Jeremy Langford Michigan St RB
137 Lynden Trail Norfolk St DE/OLB
138 Rakeem Nunez-Roaches Southern Miss DT
139 Kevin White TCU CB
140 Leterrius Walton Central Michigan DT
141 Clayton Geathers Central Florida CB/S
142 Robert Myers Tennessee St G
143 BJ Finney Kansas St C
144 Mario Alford West Virginia WR
145 Senquez Golson Mississippi CB
146 Kenny Bell Nebraska WR
147 Titus Davis Central Michigan WR
148 Mike Hull Penn St LB
149 Charles Gaines Louisville CB
150 Ty Montgomery Stanford WR
151 Jake Ryan Michigan LB
152 Ben Heeney Kansas LB
153 Dezmin Lewis Central Arkansas WR
154 Cedric Reed Texas DE
155 Derrick Lott Tennessee Chattanooga DT
156 Shaq Mason Georgia Tech G
157 Imoan Claiborne Northwestern St CB
158 Xavier Williams Northern Iowa DT
159 Taiwan Jones Michigan St LB
160 Obum Gwachum Oregon St DE/OLB
161 Kyle Emanuel North Dakota St DE/OLB
162 Tony Lippett Michigan St WR
163 Chris Hackett TCU S
164 Ramik Wilson Georgia LB
165 Bryce Hager Baylor LB
166 Geneo Grissom Oklahoma LB
167 Brandon Bridge South Alabama QB
168 Wes Saxton South Alabama TE
169 Reese Dismukes Auburn C
170 Ladarius Gunter Miami CB
171 Jalston Fowler Alabama FB
172 Tyler Varga Yale RB
173 JJ Nelson UAB WR
174 Tyeler Davison Fresno St DT
175 Dres Anderson Utah WR
176 Sean Mannion Oregon St QB
177 Jordan Taylor Rice WR
178 Chaz Green Florida OT
179 Mark Glowinski West Virginia G
180 Deontay Greenberry Houston WR
181 Laurence Gibson Virginia Tech OT
182 Tyrus Thompson Oklahoma OT
183 Jarvis Harrison Texas A&M G/T
184 Craig Mager Texas St CB
185 Stefon Diggs Maryland WR
186 Quayshawn Buckley Idaho DT
187 Bobby Richardson Indiana DT
188 Quinton Spain West Virginia OL
189 DC Celiscar Western Michigan CB/S
190 Christian Covington Rice DT
191 Geremy Davis UConn WR
192 Josue Matias Florida St G
193 Ben Koyack Notre Dame TE
194 Max Valles Virginia OLB
195 Trenton Brown Florida OT
196 Ryan Russell Purdue DE/OLB
197 Damian Swann Georgia CB
198 Jeremiah Poutasi Utah OT
199 Bobby McCain Memphis CB
200 Tray Walker Texas Southern CB/S
201 Karlos Williams Florida St RB
202 MyCole Pruitt Southern Illinois TE
203 Jacoby Glenn Central Florida CB
204 Josh Harper Fresno St WR
205 Mike Davis South Carolina RB
206 Ray Drew Georgia DT
207 Darius Philon Arkansas DT
208 Junior Sylvestre Toledo LB
209 Rannell Hall Central Florida WR
210 Nick Boyle Delaware TE
211 Max Garcia Florida C
212 Quandre Diggs Texas CB
213 Corey Robinson South Carolina OT
214 Cameron Artis-Payne Auburn RB
215 Malcolm Bunche UCLA OT
216 Xzavier Dickson Alabama LB
217 Sean Hickey Syracuse OT/G
218 Lorenzo Doss Tulane CB
219 JaCorey Shephard Kansas CB
220 Vince Mayle Washington St WR
221 Jeff Luc Cincinnati LB
222 Corey Grant Auburn RB
223 Antoine Everett McNeese St OT/G
224 Terry Poole San Diego St OT
225 Nick Marshall Auburn CB
226 DeAndrew White Alabama WR
227 Jamon Brown Louisville OT
228 Deion Barnes Penn St DE
229 Zach Hodges Harvard OLB
230 EJ Bibbs Iowa St TE
231 Kaleb Eulls Mississippi St DT
232 Zach Wagenmann Montana DE/OLB
233 Terrance McGee LSU RB
234 Justin Coleman Tennessee CB
235 Matt Jones Florida RB
236 Corey Crawford Clemson DE
237 Austin Hill Arizona WR
238 Zach Zenner South Dakota St RB
239 Jonathan Feliciano Miami C
240 Malcolm Agnew Southern Illinois RB
241 Deon Simon Northwestern St DT
242 Akeem Hunt Purdue RB
243 Justin Manton Louisiana-Monroe K
244 Miles Dieffenbach Penn St G
245 Adam Shead Oklahoma G
246 Blake Bell Oklahoma TE
247 Malcolm Brown Texas RB
248 Tye Smith Towson St CB
249 Kyle Loomis Portland St P
250 Dominique Brown Louisville RB
251 Deshazor Everett Texas A&M CB
252 Rory Anderson South Carolina TE
253 Zach Vigil Utah St LB
254 Cedric Thompson Minnesota S
255 Bryce Callahan Rice CB
256 Evan Spencer Ohio St WR
Really enjoyed watching games this week. A few notes:
Saw four Iowa games this week, all snaps. Here are some observations about some Hawkeye players:
* Brandon Scherff, as explained many times before, is a vastly overrated LT. He allows a handful of pressures/hits/sacks per game. He has to kick inside, and will be a really good player.
* Andrew Donnal is an inexperienced (less than two years of starting time), but stud right tackle. He looks bored half the time in games, because he is so much better than the competition. He is a natural tackle (unlike Scherff), who can bend his knees, sink his hips, release and then reposition easily. He is the best tackle in the draft that nobody is talking about, and will be a starter in this league. I think he gets selected before most people think (4th round), but, to me, he is early third round value.
* Carl Davis has to be double-teamed at all times. Left alone, he simply manhandles his guy. In one funny play against Wisconsin, he is singled, reaches over the guards body, grabs onto Mevin Gordon's jersey, and spins him around for a loss. One hand, with a guy pushing on him. This guy is a natural as a 43 DT or 34 DE. Never gets pushed back.
I continue to be depressed watching safeties. The latest bloodbath is Cedric Thompson, of Minnesota. Good athlete, but mediocre instincts, missed tackles, bad angles, and blown coverages. The Purdue game was ugly. He did have an interception in that game, a ball thrown right to him. Other than that- yuck. I'm hoping Derron Smith of Fresno State will work out well, because this group needs help. Watched two more Alabama games this week. Someone will have to explain to me why Landon Collins is praised so highly. I simply don't get it at all. Solid in run support, but a liability in coverage.
In the Purdue-Minnesota game, really fun late round prospect to watch- Akeem Hunt. Short, but lightning quick. Going to make an NFL roster. Good hands, excellent kickoff return guy, an offensive coordinators dream on third down in the flat. Terrific role player.
One guy I have moving up my best board (not listed here), is Grady Jarrett. It won't matter to Niners' fans, because he is exclusively a 43 one-gapper., but really quick, disruptive, 3 down guy, who does a lot of dirty work to make Stephone Anthony look pretty. Just a headache for offensive linemen. He is this year's version of Aaron Donald- undersized, but so good. I have him as early second round value.
Clocked Breshad Perriman's forty about ten times, and came up with a range of 4.24 and 4.29. That is so fast. The problem for me is that is all he is: a long stride-deep ball threat. I love the speed, but he doesn't offer anything else. Less catches per game than WR mate- Rannell Hall, who is a late-round prospect.
Someone undersized but fun to watch is Georgia Tech RG (center prospect) Shaq Mason. Short, squatty, but they ran all day and night over him the entire season. Saw him play five full games this week, and while he does not pancake people, he uses good angles to shield defenders away and open holes. Most impressively, he is lightning fast off the snap. Needs to learn the center position. In a below par group, he is someone to watch in the 4th-5th round.
Let's end with a guy the Niners could pick up. Late round guys are special teamers or developmental players. One to watch is Tyler Varga, RB, of Yale. Great pedigree (both parents stud athletes), he has a solid Pro Day yesterday, matching a very good Senior Bowl week. Rocked up physique, but lateral ability, smart, and hard worker. Will make a roster for sure. I see him off the board in the early sixth round. A guy people will cheer for, no doubt.
Much more later. I could go on for days. Cheers.
[ Edited by MadDog49er on Apr 3, 2015 at 2:24 AM ]
I looked through your notes. Good to here about Carl Davis. He is a guy I keep looking going back to. What are your thoughts about Davis vs. Goldman vs. Brown. I here this debate a lot. 