Originally posted by matt49er:
I look at it like this. Kaep will get his money, that's a foregone conclusion and the 49ers are going to pay him. But if you look at our team, we have some contracts coming off the books soon that will allow us to pay guys like Crabtree and Aldon also. Gore comes off next year, J.Smith within 2 years will be gone IMO also. Guys like Ray Mac (who's cap # increases after this year) Adam Snyder, Boldin in 2 years one of our vet NTs (Dorsey or Williams) after this year and a few others will come off the books. Combine that with the cap increasing and those guys I just mentioned getting replaced by guys we drafted in 2013 and this year will assist. Here's how I see it.
S.Johnson is the #3 now, #2 potential in the future when Boldin retires will be slightly cheaper (I also think his deal will get restructured)
Gore-replaced by Lattimore/Hyde, significant savings
J.Smith-replaced by Tank significant savings
Dorsey or Williams leaving-replaced by Dial (with the one who stays starting) is a nice savings
Adam Snyder gone-replaced by combination of Thomas/Martin or even J.Martin-nice savings
Then factor in that we got a bunch of guys in this draft who can beast on STs and vets like Ventrone, Spillman, Osgood, Dahl who don't make a ton, but make more than guys on rookie deals will be replaced by these draftees and we net a savings there.
The last factor I see playing in is guys restructuring (or extending for less depending on scenario). We have a group of core guys who have done this for us on several occassions. Reports were that Brooks was going to or did do it this off season. I see him, maybe Ray Mac, VD, Gabbert (who will take a pay cut this year I guarantee that) and likely others I'm missing.
My overall point here, Kaep and Aldon (as long as he doesn't keep doing crazy stupid ish) are def staying around and Crabtree IMO will be a priority. I don't see Stevie Johnson or Ellington as guys the organization view as replacements for him, I see these moves as a concerted effort to get Kaep more weapons, diversify the offense more and open things up.
Good points, but do the math. All speculation until you do the math. True guys come off the books after 2015, BUT your over in 2015 with the salaries and can't recall if it's a HARD cap or there are fines/penalties or a combination of both if you go over.
Kaepernick- $20 million
Crabtree $10 million
$30 million with only Kaepernick and Crabtree to resign. Do we have $30 million coming off the books next year?
Other 2015 Free Agents that we may want to resign:
QB Blaine Gabbert (we didn't trade for him for a 1 year rental, unless he REALLY sucks)
Thanks to shrewd drafting and IR players, these 2015 free agents have a viable replacement and possibly cut in 2014:
Kendall Hunter/ Frank Gore
CJ Spillman/Raymond Ventrone
ONCE, Kapernick is signed, it's a lot easier to overcome, but the QB raise is a common salary cap speed bump. Check some recent history:
The QB salary/raise is the reason:
1.) We got Anquan Boldin, Ravens shedding salary for QB Joe Flacco pay raise
2.) Packers couldn't resign WR's: Greg Jennings and James Jones