Originally posted by RollinWith21n52:
Clearly my own observation is going to drive my opinion about the probability that 1 will succeed and the other will not. I have not seen anything from Robinson that tells me he will be successful in the NFL, I've seen plenty from ASJ to suggest he will. I'll admit that this is not fact, but purely my own observation, and that's why I made this thread, because based on my observation, and what I see, 1 is much more likely to be a star than the other.
The Jimmy Grahm example was to demonstrate that it's not ALL about position. That a TE, which you say we don't need, would actually be HUGE for our team if he was extremely good. My estimate for ASJ is that he'll be extremely good. Of course that could not come true, thus the nature of the draft.
Which is fine and dandy, that is your own opinion. Personally I think Robinson can be a pretty good NFL receiver and a guy that would get plenty of snaps were Boldin not to be re-signed. A third TE means you basically are tossing McDonald into the trash, he needs snaps to develop, he won't get snaps as the #3 TE, unless you're arguing for this team to run a 3 TE offense, which you might have to take up with Harbaugh. Robinson, Beckham, a guy like Lee, all much more reasonable picks because they fill a need. Or there could be a pick at CB, even center, all bigger needs than TE. McDonald will develop, he will improve and there's no way you somehow know that he can't be a very good NFL TE. We've seen flashes of it this season as a rookie, I expect him to only continue to improve.
Your opinions are yours to have, I just think the odds of the 49ers dropping a 1st round pick on a TE with all the other needs considered are about 1 out of a 1000. I wouldn't waste a first rounder on a TE when I already have 2 that are perfectly capable and one that is a very good backup. If nothing else, this season showed the need for quality targets at wide receiver, 49ers were forced to depend on bums like Kyle Williams and Marlon Moore because they didn't have anyone else. Its time to alleviate that entire situation and build the WR corps the way teams like Green Bay have done.
[ Edited by Phoenix49ers on Jan 7, 2014 at 6:05 PM ]