Originally posted by AmpLee:
A more accurate grading system would account for quality and quantity. How about this:
'A' Player - A good to great player - 3 points
'B' Player - An average to good player - 2 points
'C' Player - A poor to average player - 1 point
'D' & 'F' - N/A
Now take the average amount of picks per team. 254 picks / 32 teams = 7.9 (we'll round up to 8)
Now it's time to find an average score of these 8 picks. This theoretically would change from draft to draft and would take some time to figure out, but we can just guess for ease of use...
Pick 1 - 3
Pick 2 - 2
Pick 3 - 2
Pick 4 - 1
Pick 5 - 1
Pick 6 - 1
Pick 7 - 0
Pick 8 - 0
This seems like an average draft to me; 1 high caliber player, 2 solid starters, and 3 backup types. So if this is the average (and since I'm not giving point to D players I'll skew the average to 80%), let's give it a middle of the road "C+/B-" grade with 10 points scored. Now is the tricky part, what are our threshold between letter grades? Again, this is arbitrary right now and would take some statistical work to figure out if you wanted to get precise, but we can guestimate fairly well. Let's look at your ratings from our draft from 2010 (which I think you graded individually well)...
1. Anthony Davis-A (3)
1. Mike Iupati-A (3)
2. Taylor Mays-F(0)
3. Navorro Bowman-A (3)
6. Anthony Dixon-C+ (1)
6. Nate Byham-C- (1)
6. Kyle William-B (2)
7. Phillip Adam-C- (1)
That gives us a total of 14 points (4 over our average of 10 points). So where does this leave us? Without finding out more examples of drafts we must consider what is widely accepted as a solid A draft and was is widely considered an F draft? I think this is pretty well defined as an A draft by most people on this board. Ninerjohn is definitely not a homer, and I wouldn't consider most posters in this thread. I would do the grading scale like this...
7 and below - D/F
8 - C-
9 - C
10 - C +
11 - B -
12 - B
13 - B+
14 - A-
15 - A
16 and Above - A+
This would be an A- minus draft, which seems fair to me.
Obviously, more work would need to be put in to find truly accurate numbers to base a grading system, but at least this way accounts for quanity and quality.
I have a suggestion to build off what you did.
A system exponentially based upon the quality of the player and where they were selected.
A steeper reward system for "tops" players at their position:
Top 3, Elite player -- 24 points (Eg. Patrick Willis, NaVorro Bowman, Aldon Smith)
Top 6, Pro-Bowl type player -- 12 points (Eg. Frank Gore, Vernon Davis, Mike Iupati)
Top 12, Very good players -- 6 points (Eg. Michael Crabtree, Ahmad Brooks)
Top 24, Good players -- 3 point (Eg. A Davis)
Top 48, About average -- 2 point (Eg. T Brown, K Williams(gets a higher score because of his "good" return ability))
Top 96, Serviceable -- 1 point (Eg. A Dixon)
If a player makes a team and contributes in games, they are worth at least 1 point.
The "Top XX" is a rough guide measure; not to be taken literally.
The point score is then multiplied by the round where they were selected. For example, Tom Brady in the 6th round would be 24 X 6 = 144 points. Tom Brady in the 1st round would be 24 X 1 = 24 points. First rounders are expected to be good, there is far less effort needed to find a good player in the 1st round.
So in our case:
1. Anthony Davis-A (3 X 1 = 3)
1. Mike Iupati-A (12 X 1 = 12)
2. Taylor Mays-F(0)
3. NaVorro Bowman-A (24 X 3 = 72)
6. Anthony Dixon-C+ (1 X 6 = 6)
6. Nate Byham-C- (1 X 6 = 6)
6. Kyle Williams-B (2 X 6 = 12)
7. Phillip Adams-C- (1 X 7 = 7)
Total = 118 points
Obviously, Bowman in the 3rd round is the pick of the draft. We also had a lot of nice picks contribute to our team in the later rounds.
With this system, teams are rewarded for hitting home runs in the first round, but are also rewarded for making solid choices in the later rounds. The system does not take into account the importance of the players position.
Remember, this is not a measure of how "good" or "important" a player is, for example, Bowman is not 24 times better than A Davis. It is only a measure for how "good" the actual draft selection was.
[ Edited by BrianGO on Apr 30, 2013 at 3:04 AM ]