Originally posted by MadDog49er:I don't care how many games you watch on TV as a fan, or how often you rewatch, TV coverage is far different from a coaches tape--especially in regard to the secondary. Many times TV coverage doesn't even include the secondary, and you have to rely on the color commentator to tell you if its zone or man to man, etc.
Originally posted by oldninerdude:
Excellent points you make, Lieut.
MD's entitled to his opinion though, and can give out whatever grades he wants.
Fact is that Baalke has access to coaches film, and has had the time to study quite a bit of it, while MD has stated that he is limited to utube and to whatever video clips might be available on the interwebs, plus he has to study them on his free time, as a hobby. So ultimately Baalke's evaluation of the players in the draft is based on much more information, and is likely to be more accurate and more complete.
Two years ago, for example, MD gave the Niners a "C-" for drafting Aldon Smith, Kaepernick, Culliver, Hunter, Kilgore, and Miller. He was highly critical not only of the Aldon Smith selection, but also of the second round selection of some QB named Kaepernick. Baalke should have taken a QB named Jackson much later, in the 6th or 7th round, and would have gotten equal value, according to MD back then.
Based on that history, it seems wiser to trust Baalke's evaluation of talent over MD's.
Kudos to MD, however, for raising the issues he raises and for giving us all an opportunity to better understand what Baalke does in the draft.
MD's "draft review" every year always makes for an interesting read and challenges us all to think critically about the Niner's draft selections.
Nothing wrong with that. IMHO.
A couple notes: If a fan watches a lot of games, and concentrates and isolates a certain player, which I do, it allows for a pretty decent attempt at grading.
As for the 2011 class, I didn't think the Niners selections were going to pan out the way it did. Smith was the highest remaining OLB on my board, but I saw much better value in Watt. I think many would agree with me in a draft re-do that they would select Watt. As stated before, to much applause, I would regrade it differently, as I do for virtually every other draft (ask 99% of the media, and Mel, Mike M, Todd McShay, etc. what they thought about Seattle's draft last year). People look back and think, "I'd screwed this one up". I have no problem looking back and saying that I missed on an analysis.
At the same time, I think I have fared pretty well with my selections over the year (Iupati, Dez Bryant, Morgan Burnett in 2010) Compare my draft with Baalke's last year, and so far, I've got him smoked. Was there anyone the Niners' selected that matched my pick of Vick Ballard in the late rounds? So, you win some, you lose some. In the end, as stated before, it is hitting more often than others that is the goal.
In the end, it is all fun and games. When it is no longer fun, it is time to move on.
A coaches tape can allow you to focus in on a particular player in the secondary play after play, for an entire game. Big, big difference.