Originally posted by oldninerdude:
In the law, a jury is instructed that an expert witness's opinion is to be considered in light of the evidence upon which it is based. The same seems appropriate here.
Basing an opinion of a player's value on a bunch of other "draftniks" whose opinions are, equally, based on what others may say, may not be as reliable as basing such an opinion on a review of coaches game tape.
MD has a hobby--which includes looking at internet clips and reading blogs, gathering info as best he can. I do not doubt that he endeavors to be as accurate as he possibly can be, but his resources are simply more limited than those of an NFL professional.
Reality is that Baalke is an NFL GM with access to an abundance of coaches game tape, scouting reports from the Niners scout team (which nobody else ever sees), personal interviews and workouts, etc., etc. There is little question about who has more complete, better information upon which to base their opinion of a players' draft value.
So you're correct. MD is not that much different from the rest of us, even though he appears to spend far more time than many of us would on his draft board hobby.
That still does not elevate his opinion to the level of an NFL professional's, simply because he does not have access to the same amount or quality of information that they do.
To the extent that other posters fail to recognize how much time and effort MD puts in, it seems unfair to criticize him.
To the extent that his posts sometimes appear to rely on all his hard work as if it was the same as, or even better than an NFL professional's, its understandable how that might subject him to some criticism.
agree, no knock on MD, i have asked him if has access to coaches tape because i was impressed w/ the conclusions he draws and to his credit he did not lie, he said he has no access to coaches tape. upon that revelation we cannot take seriously any assessment of a defensive back...without that tape and understanding roles/coverages etc there is absolutely no way you can tell me that you know kenny vaccaro leaps and bounds better than eric reid, or that johnathan cyprien is better than reid as well.
that is just simple facts. i respect his work but to sit here and talk down from a pulpit as if he knows reid is the wrong pick at that spot without access to coaches tape to make an assessment is not a good assessment