Originally posted by AllTimeGreat:
Originally posted by LieutKaffee:I'll bite. I picked players selected within 3 (ocassionally 4) spots of where we will pick in this years draft. I rated players as either Elite, Star, Key Starter or Solid Contributor. Sometimes I included 2 players when I couldn't decide.
Of course it would be far more interesting if you cherry-picked the best players in the general area of those lower picks.
Matt Kalil OT #4- Elite
Harrison Smith S #29- Star
Derek Wolfe DT #36- Key Starter
Casey Hayward CB #62/Dwayne Allen TE #64- Key Starter
Russell Wilson QB #75- Star
Ty Hilton WR #92- Key Starter (Could be star if keeps developing)
2011 (Holy s**t what a great top 11 that was)
AJ Green #4/Julio Jones #6- Elite
Muhammad Wilkerson #30- Star
Colin Kaepernick #36- Star
Randall Cobb #64/Torrey Smith #58- Star
Steven Ridley RB #73- Key Starter
Chris Conte S #93- Solid Contributor
2010 (Excellent 1st round with 14 Pro-Bowlers already. Meh 2nd day)
Gerald McCoy DT #3- Elite
Devin McCourty CB #27- Star
TJ Ward S #38- Star
Ben Tate RB #58- Solid Contributor
Major Wright S #75- Key Starter
Navorro Bowman LB #91/Jimmy Graham TE #95- Elite
2009 (Yuck! What a hideous top 10!)
Andre Smith OT #6- Key Starter
Hakeem Nicks WR #29- Key Starter
Louis Delmas S #33- Key Starter
Sebastian Vollmer OT #58/William Beatty OT #60- Star
Terrance Knighton DT #72- Solid Contributor
Keenan Lewis CB #96- Key Starter
Chris Long DE #2- Elite
Kenny Phillips S #31- Key Starter
Brandon Flowers CB #45- Star
Martellus Bennett TE #61- Solid Contributor
Jamaal Charles RB #73- Star
Cliff Avril DE #92- Key Starter
Analysis: In 4 of the 5 drafts the player selected was an elite player, while only 1 elite player was drafted in the 20 other picks, but many stars and key starters were drafted. If you want an elite player, the top of the draft is still the place to be in most drafts but you better select wisely because if you miss you're missing out on potentially grabbing one or two stars or key contributors.
In this draft which is considered to be very weak at the top with few if any elite prospects but very very deep it doesn't seem like a very smart move to trade a bunch of picks for a top 5 pick. It might be worth it if there was a guy you considered a "once in a decade player" available and you didn't have a lot of holes to fill but otherwise it would be a pretty ballsy gamble. Our best move is to keep our picks in the first 3 rounds and either trade up with later picks back into the 3rd or use those 4th-7th rounders to continue to stockpile picks for the future.
Love it. Thanks for putting in the work.