I wouldn't doubt based on the tremendous 2011 draft, but you can't automatically assume every pick is spot on, because 2012 looks rough to this point. The best guys still miss more than hit. It is a matter of hitting more than others that makes you special. Overall, Baalke sure passes the test, as he is superior to most GM's in the draft the past few years.
Here was my last three drafts based on my board and team needs at each pick:
2010 NFL Draft
1. Iupati (I graded him as the eighth best player in the draft...probably too low).
1. Dez Bryant
2. Morgan Burnett
6. Doug Worthington
6. Cody Davis
6. Jeff Owens
7. Dorin Dickerson
2011 NFL Draft: Here were my post draft notes I posted in the "Redo" thread (I did not trade for Kaepernick in this draft)
1- JJ Watt, DE, WisconsinSimply the best player on the board at the time. Since Franklin appears to be leaving, moving Soap to NT would necessitate a new DE to take over right away.
2- Rodney Hudson, G/C, Florida StateI think Hudson is the best OL in the entire draft, and is a starter at guard or center.
3- Curtis Brown, CB, TexasThe team needs a cover corner, and Brown has size and speed.
4- Jordan Todman, RB, UConnI graded Todman just slightly over Hunter, who I really like as well. Both are great value picks at this point.
4- Marcus Cannon, G, TCUSince the Niners have a second fourth rounder, this can be a luxury pick. I'd burn it on a risk. Cannon is a starter at guard some time in the future if he can survive cancer and regain his strength. Worth the risk in the fourth round.
5- Tyrod Taylor, QB, Virginia TechThe Niners need QB depth, and while no one expects Taylor to be a future starter, he can be a solid backup if the starter goes down for a short time.
6- Charles Clay, FB, TulsaA FB who can run and catch the ball. Sounds like a WCO fullback to me.
6- Justin Rogers, CB, RichmondTeam needs a second corner in this draft, and Rogers had a terrific career and offseason.
6- Jerrell Powe, NT, MississippiSimply a backup, toilet clogger. Every 3-4 team needs one.
7- Ugo Chinasa, OLB, Oklahoma StWas not drafted, but a quick, strong guy who could develop into a nice role player.
7- Jeron Johnson, S, Boise St Also not drafted, but a talented, fast guy who has a ton of experience.
7- Dane Sanzenbacher, WR, Ohio StCompetition for Williams in the slot. Sanzenbacher was a seriously clutch WR for the Buckeyes.
2012 NFL Draft
1. Peter Konz
2. Mohammed Sanu
4. Malik Jackson
5. Vick Ballard
6. Antonio Allen
6. Not sure- don't have my notes here at work
7. Not sure- don't have my notes here at work
Recap analysis: I loved my first three picks in 2010. The rest have done little to nothing. In 2011, I hit the jackpot with Watt, but probably blew it with Kaepernick (I had faith in Harbaugh and Smith). I do love my fourth rounders through seventh from Cannon through Sanzenbacher. Missed on Hunter, but hit very well on Cannon, Taylor, Rogers, and especially Johnson, who has been terrific for the Seahawks. In 2012, I believe my draft will hold up well with Konz, Sanu and a studly Ballard leading the way. Once again, you hope to hit on as many as possible and some years turn out better than others.
[ Edited by MadDog49er on Apr 23, 2013 at 12:24 PM ]