Originally posted by 49ersMyLife:
Originally posted by krizay:
This is a defense strong class. Which means there is more defense to draft than offense. Which means you can still get good defensive players later. reminds me of 06. Everyone talking about how deep the TE position was in the draft. Then we go and take the 1st one. Whicch negated the depth of the class.
...and thank god we drafted Vernon. Guys that get drafted in later rounds don't drop to later rounds because of great depth at their positions. They drop because they weren't rated high enough.
If defensive players are rated higher, most teams will just go ahead and draft the defensive player and fill a need on offense with another player.
If Niners draft offensive players with their 1st two picks, it will be because they are rated higher than defensive players. It will certainly not be because the defensive class is deep so they can get good defensive players later. That's a horrible strategy.
They drop because of supply and demand. If there is an abundance of guys at a certain position and not all teams are looking at said positions, then good guys will drop. which is my point.
It's all about what's all left and what you can get later. Getting the #3-5 WR and the 7th-8th best DT is ebtter than getting the 6th best DT and the 8th best WR.
why? because the difference between the the 3-5 WR and 8h best Wr is a greater drop off than the 6th best DT and the 8th. In a deep DEFENSIVE draft. Now if this was a deep OFFENSIVE class. then yea it would be wiser to take the higher rated DT and wait on the WR. As the drop off there would then be greater. * DISCLAIMER*
JUST USING THOSE POSITION RANKINGS FOR ARGUMENT PURPOSES
You can't always just take the higher rated guy on your board. You have to see what positions you are targeting and what's left. Plus who will be available at your next selection.
[ Edited by krizay on Apr 10, 2013 at 8:54 AM ]