Originally posted by 9ersLiferInChicago:
Originally posted by GhostofFredDean74:
1. I don't know why people are sleeping on Kilgore. I think he is going to surprise some people this camp, though not me. Look for him to possibly start via JH's development.
For those clamoring for a true #1 WR at the bottom of the first round, good luck with that because that's all it would be...luck. Given our lack of front-line needs, I think we could go in just about any direction and be fine. So yes, BPA (depending on the teams' big board) is the best way to go as opposed to trying to reach for a "need."
2. No team is that talented to be picking "BPA" - for luxury - in the 1st round, even late 1st. Teams pick players in the 1st who they feel can start day one or by year two. Plain and simple.
3. So it's never a reach when the player you pick in the first fills a big hole. I remember distinctly durung the 2011 draft how all the commentators and so-called experts saying how Aldon Smith was a reach. Remember, a pass rusher was as glaring of a need for us before the 2011 draft as WR is this years draft.
1.) I don't know enough about Kilgore to say one way or another...if you know something about him that we don't please share, otherwise you're just guessing. Which is fine, but not exactly pursuasive.
2.) BPA isn't a luxury, it's a strategy that teams like the Ravens have employed very successfully over the years. Now, it doesn't mean you totally ignore your needs...it just means you choose the best football player on your board even though you might have more pressing needs somewhere else. Teams have really struck out when they reach for guys that aren't the best football players available, but that fill a current need. As a rule of thumb (and yes, there are always exceptions), you're better off grabbing the best football player on the board as opposed to getting a lesser football player that scratches the most immediate itch.
3.) In the case of Aldon Smith, it was clearly a matter of need-meets-BPA (according to the Niners). What commentators or analysts say about prospects is irrelevant; it's all about what your team board looks like, and clearly Aldon was a guy that was high on OUR board, and that's all that matters. He was a guy that both filled a need and was the best player available by the team's standards; we know this because they selected him over other players that were deemed better prospects by the so-called experts. He was the best available player on the Niner board, and he filled a need...that's a win-win.
And all that said, the draft is a crap shoot so even if you THINK you're getting the BPA or reaching to fill a need, you really never know if it's going to work out no matter how well thought out the process or strong the argument for taking one guy over another. You just never know.
Btw, choosing a BPA doesn't mean you're not getting a year-1 or year-2 starter...it's not a mutually exclusive thing.