Originally posted by dj43:Originally posted by MadDog49er:I don't think you are wrong.Originally posted by bzborow1:
I wonder if all this talk about 5+ QB's going in the first round is really just smoke and mirrors. If I was a team in the 20's I would love to create the fantasy that any and every half-decent QB is going to be taken before pick 45.
The reality is players like Andy Dalton were given 3+ round grades not more than a month ago.
Based on my impressions of this QB class, I do not think all these QB's will be coming off the board this early. A QB with an average arm is a QB with an average arm, and no amount of hype should change that.
I think what's going on with the QB's is similar to what's going on with Patrick Peterson. The guy is a top 5 talent, so I have trouble seeing how he makes it to the 49ers. I think a lot of these "draftniks" get caught up in "right fits"....for example, the draft looks good if Peterson falls to S.F.
I think the perfect storm of aging QB's (McNabb), QB's refusing to report to their team (Palmer), QB's who never developed as expected (Henne in Miami, Jackson in Minnesota, Young in Tennessee, Smith in SF), and the uncertaintly of the CBA have really created a huge need for teams to pull the lever, and control their own destiny by drafting a QB, even at an inflationary price, instead of sitting back and waiting for things to sort out.
However, I could be quite wrong in this prediction.
I have been watching this league for 30 years and cannot remember a time when so many teams had poor-to-mediocre QBs. There will be at least 12 teams that will be trying to solve their QB problems in this draft, and that means will pay an inflated price for a QB.
Rick Gosselin, probably the best draftnik in the business, or at least the most connected, has five QB's in the top 12 picks. Just a stunning number.
Hyperinflation looks to be alive and well with QB's in 2011. I hope we don't bite, and just let things settle out, instead of trading a number of picks to move up to get the guy we want.