Originally posted by 49ersMyLife:
Originally posted by Rsrkshn:
Those suggesting that Franklin be franchised are overlooking reality. Placing the franchise tag on Franklin would mean paying him over $12 million. The Niner's could afford it, but they won't do it because it means essentially paying him almost DOUBLE what they are paying their perrenial pro bowler Willis. Too disruptive of team chemistry and creates problems for down the road. They'll either sign him to a contract for more than he's worth or be forced to go in a different direction. New defensive coordinator may also have different ideas.
Another thought: If they were even close to contemplating that kind of money for Franklin, they would be in a perfect mindset to acquire Namndi A. and it would be a better move. IMO neither (franchising Franklin or acquiring Namndi) is in the cards. We'll see.
I think that you draft scenario is very intriguing and I like it. Many dominos have to fall though, so it's likelihood is questionable. Have you looked at the value equivalency tables for the trade that you are suggesting? Is the #7 worth a #10 and early 2nd rounder?
Your QB pick is very interesting. He could be a gem although he is not my personal favorite. But he has maybe the best physical QB attributes of all the guys out there.
Very true, I think they will franchise him and try to sign him to a deal. If not, they may trade him, but I don't think they will let him get away for free, or at least I wouldn't if I was making the decision.
Of course, Washington will be paying premium price for trading up for a QB, just Cleveland did when they traded up for Quinn. When you're moving up to get a QB - you can throw the chart away.
I like the QB from Nevada. I live near Reno and I happened to watch every single game he played in this year. I truly think he has that it factor that is a must for every successful QB in NFL. Now, he needs to go to a team with a great QB coach, because he is very raw and needs a full year (maybe 1 1/2) to play at the next level. I think Harbaugh is one of the best QB coaches in the league...so to me "it is a perfect competitive challenge" that makes a lot of sense for us - provided we have a veteran who can play for the next year or two.
They will not franchise Franklin. What if they cannot work out a deal with him? Then they are stuck paying him 12 million. I'm sure that they don't want to be paying him any more than 5/6 million a year MAX on a longer term deal. Why would he settle for that? He'd laugh all the way to the bank. And no team would trade for him with that kind of a price tag. He'd have to renegotiate his deal . . . again, why would he?
Anyway, if the Niners don't pick a QB first (and I don't think that they will, but you never know), Quinn would be my second choice, after only Peterson. So I love that pick.
I don't think that you're getting a 1st and 2nd out of Washington to jump up three spots . . . irrespective of whether they're picking a QB or not. Washington is not what Cleveland was. They know that the Niners would take less. Niners would jump at 1st and 3rd IMO. Shanahan is not afraid to trade up to get a QB, provided that he identifies one he likes . . . that's a BIG supposition.
I don't think that the Niners can afford to wait until the end of the second round to get their QB if they are serious about getting on in the draft. And I do think that they are serious about getting one this year . . . if not through the draft then a really untested back-up who they feel that they can develop. I don't know who that would be. Not Kolb. Maybe JJohnson . . . but then why was he beaten out by Freeman (who is younger) if he is that great?
So I'm assuming they will look for an answer in the draft. I agree, Kaepernick seems to have all the tools. Most importantly, the attitude. I would not mind an early 2nd on him, if Harbaugh likes him. I would even advocate trading up higher to pick him up (and giving up the extra pick they acquired from trading down), if Harbaugh thinks that he has "it". Remember, plenty of other teams looking for a QB. And with the scrutiny to come, studying film, combine, etc. His stock will rise if he is any good. Because he has athleticism. You cannot count on finding franchise QBs later in the draft.
So while I like your picks and you've put real good thought into it . . . I do not find your scenario too realistic.
Go ahead and dream though.