Originally posted by 9erred:
I would value Two 2nd round picks over 1 first round picks any day of the week. The first round picks have so much guaranteed money, second rounders are a bargain, and the deal are for 4 years, instead of 5 years.
The numbers substantially drop in the second half of the first.
Also, I think it entirely depends on what type of team you have. If you're the 1-15 Rams you need some superstars and the top 10 will most help your team. If you're the (now) 7-9 9ers after your superstars have (hopefully) panned out (Willis, V-Davis), stockpiling second round picks (like the pats) to fill out all the pieces is a better move.
Edit: to simplify, teams get competitive with superstars, which are most readily available in the top of the first. Teams stay competitive and go over the heard (Pats, Steelers, Eagles) by having high success rates in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th after the superstars are in place (sometimes before, a la the Vikes with Peterson & Favre).
[ Edited by PopeyeJonesing on Aug 4, 2010 at 16:10:44 ]