Originally posted by genz22:
1a/ Joe Haden CB Florida
1b/ Anthony Davis OT Rutgers
2/ Jon Asamoah OG Illinois
3/ Mardy Gilyard WR/KR/PR Cincinnati
4/ Brandon Spikes ILB Florida
5/ Kam Chancellor SS Clemson
6/ O'brien Schoefield OLB Wisconsin
6/ Jacoby Ford KR/PR Clemson
7/ Shawnbrey McNeal RB SMU
Jacoby Ford will slip out of the the top half of the 4th round (he will probably go end of the third) also, switch Asamoah and Gilyard (Panthers will take Gilyard in the second if he is still there). I personally don't like the Anthony Davis pick too much, but I do like Spikes in the 4th.
I was interested in the percentage of how many players busted in the first round, so I made an excel chart and listed every player picked in the first since 2001. Accourding to my marking (which some might not agree) just over 42 percent of players are busts with 38% being stars and 20% being solid starters (not a bust, but not a star). 42% equals about 14 players. And of the 14 players I though would bust most, Anthony Davis is one of them. (Taylor Mays, C Dunlap, E Griffen, B Bulaga, B Campbell, JPP are just a few others who I think will bust). And remember, there is no such thing as a guarantee. Back in 08, Glenn Dorsey was thought to be the next Sapp. Gholston, Harvey, Balmer, and Chris Long has all been HUGE flops so far as well. There are others, (like Branden Albert and Goosder Cherilus) who have not been busts, but Albert will be moved inside to Guard (way less valuable) and Cheilus plays RT. Both were "busts" at LT.
Anyway, I just think Davis will be a flop and Joe Haden also has a good chance. His best attribute is making plays on poorly thrown balls, however, he is not a shut down corner and is poor at covering quick routes (he is a good tackler though, so I like that aspect). If you don't belive me, watch LSU's Brandon LaFell destroy Haden. Again, I do like Haden, but if I HAD to choose 14 players who would bust Haden would be #14 :(