Originally posted by mississippi_sam:
Has anyone ever researched the draft from this perspective?

I just wonder... of all the 1st round picks let's say from 2000 to 2004 (broken down by position of course), how many of them were starters 5 years after they were drafted?

In my guestimation, LB and RB are the safest choices to get a long term starter. QB and WR are probably the most risky picks. I'd like to see some numbers if any body has any.

What position do you think is the safest pick?

You may find these links of interest, though maybe not exactly what you are looking for.

http://www.patriots.com/news/index.cfm?ac=nfldetail&pcid=43&pid=37005#

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2009/04/career-success-by-draft-order.html